The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gherdëina 50.4%
Draw 21.1%
Vipiteno 28.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.5%
18.9%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
21%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gherdëina's form might have worsened.
Vipiteno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vipiteno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gherdëina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipiteno than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vipiteno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gherdëina - Vipiteno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Porter C. (G)
22. Fiske J. (G)
94. Frenademez J.
2. Gschnitzer J.
4. Senoner J.
5. Hell H.
23. Deluca S.
54. Conci D.
44. Schiavone D.
90. Cianfrone B.
74. Biondi L.
10. Randklev C.
Line 2
27. Bettega C.
9. Belpedio N.
68. Soracreppa S.
21. Soraruf D.
89. Kasslatter H.
37. Gschliesser F.
77. Pietroniro M.
80. Zecchetto A.
22. Pitschieler S.
86. Ansons K.
Line 3
20. Colli A.
91. Brunner A.
14. Vozovik D.
84. Nardon L.
15. Dostalek V.
61. Kruselburger L.
17. Luisetti M.
93. Covelli M.
72. Bogdanov I.
41. Hofer E.
Line 4
16. Greci D.
18. Tirelli D.
24. Moroder T.
15. Rainer I.
33. Esposito N.
13. Oberhuber F.
6. Mandruzzato G.
16. Niccolai M.
Substitutes
30. Plancker A. (G)
30. Klammer F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:54, 1 - 0, Pietroniro M. (G), Dostalek V. (A), Moroder T. (A2)
19:26, 1 - 1, Zecchetto A. (G), Hofer E. (A), Ansons K. (A2)
2nd Period (5 - 1)
00:21, 2 - 1, Frenademez J. (G), Schiavone D. (A), Deluca S. (A2)
00:58, 2 - 2, Zecchetto A. (G), Belpedio N. (A),
01:50, 3 - 2, Bogdanov I. (G), Dostalek V. (A),
05:24, 4 - 2, Kasslatter H. (G), Colli A. (A),
10:59, 5 - 2, Dostalek V. (G), Pietroniro M. (A), Vozovik D. (A2)
13:06, 6 - 2, Mandruzzato G. (G), Esposito N. (A), Moroder T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:19, 6 - 3, Randklev C. (G), Covelli M. (A), Hell H. (A2)
07:27, 6 - 4, Randklev C. (G), Brunner A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 2.
In recent outings, Gherdëina has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vipiteno is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gherdëina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Gherdëina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gherdëina has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:88 (averaging 3.5:4.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gherdëina against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 37:33 goals (averaging 4.1:3.7 per game).