Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 6

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Ritten (Ritten)


	Ritten-Renon		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.60	3.75
	1.56	4.75	4.10
	1.56	4.50	4.07
	1.67	5	3.47	Watch
	1.54	4.45	4.00
	1.55	4.70	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	4.67 ↓ (4.76)	3.93 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ritten-Renon
57.4%

Draw
19.4%

Gherdëina
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

19.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

19.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ritten-Renon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ritten Renon - Gherdëina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Vallini G. (G)	70. Porter C. (G)
88. Insam M.	94. Frenademez J.
44. Blake C.	4. Senoner J.
8. Ohler R.	6. Mandruzzato G.
62. Alanen J.	44. Schiavone D.
27. Miceli A.	74. Biondi L.
Line 2
17. Schives D.	27. Bettega C.
26. Marzolini M.	68. Soracreppa S.
13. Markkula M.	23. Deluca S.
23. Kostner S.	77. Pietroniro M.
29. Capannelli A.	22. Pitschieler S.
Line 3
18. Uffelmann H.	20. Colli A.
16. Prast J.	14. Vozovik D.
95. Spinell S.	15. Dostalek V.
37. Ohler M.	17. Luisetti M.
15. Felicetti L.	89. Kasslatter H.
Line 4
12. Prast P.	16. Greci D.
38. Spornberger L.	72. Bogdanov I.
77. Oberrauch A.	33. Esposito N.
86. Graf T.	24. Moroder T.
82. Innerhofer P.
Substitutes
1. Ploner D. (G)	30. Plancker A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:31, 0 - 1, Esposito N. (G), Vozovik D. (A), Moroder T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:20, 1 - 1, Miceli A. (G), Ohler R. (A), Felicetti L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:51, 2 - 1, Capannelli A. (G), Ohler M. (A), Miceli A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ritten-Renon won 4.

Ritten-Renon has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gherdëina is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ritten-Renon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Ritten-Renon is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ritten-Renon in today's match, at odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ritten-Renon has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 80:36 (averaging 4:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ritten-Renon against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 41:20 goals (averaging 3.7:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
2	Ritten	6	5	0	0	0	1	27:12	15
10	Gherdeina	5	0	1	0	1	3	16:21	3

Last Results with these Odds

Gherdëina - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
03.10.26	Ritten-Renon - Red Bull Salzburg 2	5:1 ✺
01.10.26	KAC II - Ritten-Renon	2:5 ✺
26.09.26	Zell am See - Ritten-Renon	5:4 ✺
24.09.26	Ritten-Renon - Merano Junior	6:1 ✺
19.09.26	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
01.10.26	Gherdëina - Asiago	4:6 ✺
26.09.26	Gherdëina - Kitzbühel	4:3 penalties ✺
24.09.26	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	6:5 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Merano Junior - Gherdëina	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.26	Bolzano - Gherdëina	12:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
26.02.26	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	1:3
07.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	2:3
04.12.25	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	1:4
15.11.25	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	5:2
14.10.25	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	5:1
28.12.24	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	3:5
28.11.24	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	2:4

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