Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 38

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Pranives (Selva di Val Gardena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Gherdëina		Unterland Cavaliers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	5.05	5.25	Watch
	1.37	4.85	4.47
	1.45	5.19	4.88	Watch
	1.41	5.1	5.19	Watch
	1.41	5.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)	5.09 ↑ (4.67)	4.91 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
64%

Draw
17.7%

Unterland Cavaliers
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

19.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

20.9%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Unterland Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gherdëina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Line 1
53. Endre C. (G)	31. Foppa L. (G)
4. Senoner J.	26. Brighenti T.
43. Guimond S.	22. Tavernini P. C.
23. Deluca S.	4. Kaufmann M.
44. Schiavone D.	13. Galimberti T.
74. Biondi L.	16. Galassiti G.
Line 2
29. Buono C.	15. Curti A.
68. Soracreppa S.	41. Seniut A.
15. Dostalek V.	20. Potsinok M.
28. Moncada L.	14. Potsinok E.
22. Pitschieler S.	86. Eriksson V.
Line 3
14. Vozovik D.	19. Santer M.
19. Moroder S.	18. Bonazzo M.
17. Luisetti M.	6. Pisetta V.
93. Castlunger M.	7. Egger A.
89. Kasslatter H.	63. Pichler F.
Line 4
	12. Pisetta T.
	23. Sanoll S.
	11. Zerbetto R.
Substitutes
33. Esposito N.	29. Giovanelli T. (G)
30. Plancker A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:23, 1 - 0, Guimond S. (G), Schiavone D. (A), Vozovik D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:09, 1 - 1, Pisetta V. (G), Tavernini P. C. (A), Brighenti T. (A2)
04:59, 2 - 1, Moncada L. (G), Guimond S. (A), Dostalek V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:50, 2 - 2, Galimberti T. (G), Brighenti T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Gherdëina is Alps Hockey League (Losers stage )

Unterland is Alps Hockey League (Losers stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 3.

Gherdëina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unterland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unterland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gherdëina is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:49. (average 2.9:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gherdëina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 3.6:4.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
9	Gherdeina	6	1	1	0	1	3	20:21	6
10	Unterland	7	1	0	0	2	4	18:26	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
24.01.26	Cortina - Gherdëina	5:1 ✺
14.01.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5 ✺
06.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	5:6 ✺
04.01.26	Asiago - Gherdëina	3:2 OT ✺
02.01.26	Gherdëina - Zell am See	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWLW
- Unterland Cavaliers
Alps Hockey League
24.01.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Unterland Cavaliers	6:1 ✺
22.01.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Zell am See	2:7 ✺
17.01.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Vipiteno	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Unterland Cavaliers	5:2 ✺
08.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
20.12.25	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	7:6 penalties
20.11.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Gherdëina	5:4 OT
06.01.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Gherdëina	5:2
30.11.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Gherdëina	2:3 penalties
03.10.24	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	4:2
29.02.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Gherdëina	7:2
27.02.24	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	2:3

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