Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Pranives (Selva di Val Gardena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Gherdëina		Red Bull Salzburg 2

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.8	2.02	Watch
	2.88	4.57	1.85
	2.72	4.63	1.99	Watch
	2.63	4.2	2
	3.17	4.15	1.85
	2.66	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)	4.18 ↑ (3.8)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
32.1%

Draw
21.6%

Red Bull Salzburg 2
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

23.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

24.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Red Bull Salzburg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg 2 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
53. Endre C. (G)	30. Haitzmann L. (G)
4. Senoner J.	67. Wimmer P. P.
43. Guimond S.	18. Schnabl J.
15. Dostalek V.	43. Eliseev M.
44. Schiavone D.	10. Juhola J.
74. Biondi L.	55. Auer L. C.
Line 2
34. Brighenti T.	20. Kirchebner M.
29. Buono C.	47. Rebernig A.
17. Luisetti M.	7. Wurzer M.
93. Castlunger M.	14. Maul N.
22. Pitschieler S.	25. Schuster P.
Line 3
14. Vozovik D.	28. Hackert M.
68. Soracreppa S.	21. Warnecke M.
23. Deluca S.	11. Oberhauser P.
28. Moncada L.	15. Gesson A.
89. Kasslatter H.	12. Kogler L.
Line 4
16. Greci D.	46. Sladkovs D.
5. Linder B.	27. Korhonen N.
19. Moroder S.	26. Bloch N.
33. Esposito N.	9. Krainer B.
7. Delucca T.
Substitutes
71. Rindone M. (G)	31. Haim M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 4)
03:47, 0 - 1, Kogler L. (G), Gesson A. (A),
04:33, 0 - 2, Wurzer M. (G), Hackert M. (A),
06:29, 0 - 3, Kirchebner M. (G), Gesson A. (A),
15:41, 0 - 4, Schuster P. (G), Wurzer M. (A), Wimmer P. P. (A2)
19:00, 1 - 4, Dostalek V. (G), Schiavone D. (A), Biondi L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:35, 1 - 5, Maul N. (G), Auer L. C. (A),
09:58, 1 - 6, Auer L. C. (G), Eliseev M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:10, 2 - 6, Vozovik D. (G),

Preview

Gherdeina leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Gherdëina will win today's game, with odds of 2.49.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:69. (average 3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gherdëina won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 3.4:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
8	Salzburg 2	8	2	0	0	1	5	13:32	7
9	Gherdeina	6	1	1	0	1	3	20:21	6

Last Results with these Odds

Gherdëina - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 41.79%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
20.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	9:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:3 OT ✺
13.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2 ✺
11.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWL
- HC Red Bull Salzburg 2
Alps Hockey League
20.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	9:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:3 OT ✺
13.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2 ✺
11.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
20.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	9:2
17.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:0
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:3 OT
13.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2
11.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	3:2
14.01.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5
01.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	5:2

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