Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Eisarena Salzburg (Salzburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Red Bull Salzburg 2		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.7	5.25	Watch
	1.3	5.17	6.95
	1.36	5.38	6.63	Watch
	1.3	5	5.75
	1.37	5.15	5.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.85)	5.08 ↑ (4.14)	6.07 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg 2
67.2%

Draw
17.8%

Gherdëina
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

22.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg 2's performance.

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gherdëina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg 2 than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gherdëina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Haitzmann L. (G)	53. Endre C. (G)
22. Baumann F.	4. Senoner J.
21. Warnecke M.	43. Guimond S.
55. Auer L. C.	23. Deluca S.
10. Juhola J.	44. Schiavone D.
43. Eliseev M.	74. Biondi L.
Line 2
67. Wimmer P. P.	34. Brighenti T.
18. Schnabl J.	29. Buono C.
11. Oberhauser P.	17. Luisetti M.
15. Gesson A.	93. Castlunger M.
12. Kogler L.	89. Kasslatter H.
Line 3
20. Kirchebner M.	68. Soracreppa S.
35. Schreier L.	14. Vozovik D.
7. Wurzer M.	19. Moroder S.
14. Maul N.	28. Moncada L.
25. Schuster P.	22. Pitschieler S.
Line 4
28. Hackert M.	5. Linder B.
46. Sladkovs D.	7. Delucca T.
27. Korhonen N.	33. Esposito N.
26. Bloch N.	16. Greci D.
9. Krainer B.
Substitutes
31. Haim M. (G)	71. Rindone M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:21, 0 - 1, Brighenti T. (G), Pitschieler S. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:11, 1 - 1, Kogler L. (G), Gesson A. (A), Wimmer P. P. (A2)
06:26, 1 - 2, Kasslatter H. (G), Castlunger M. (A),
18:46, 2 - 2, Eliseev M. (G), Wimmer P. P. (A), Juhola J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
16:05, 2 - 3, Luisetti M. (G), Senoner J. (A),

Preview

Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg 2 won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Salzburg 2 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg 2 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 71:57. (average 3.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg 2 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 3.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
8	Salzburg 2	8	2	0	0	1	5	13:32	7
9	Gherdeina	6	1	1	0	1	3	20:21	6

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Gherdëina - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg 2
Alps Hockey League
22.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:6 ✺
20.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	9:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:3 OT ✺
13.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
22.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:6 ✺
20.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	9:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:3 OT ✺
13.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
22.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:6
20.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	9:2
17.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:0
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:3 OT
13.03.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2
11.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	3:2
14.01.26	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5

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