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Current Win Probability
Gornyak-UGMK 41.1%
Draw 25%
Molot Perm 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
24.8%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
27.8%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Gornyak UGMK - Molot Perm Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
83. Karpovich D.
12. Glukhov N. (C)
50. Shchemerov A.
55. Kozhevnikov A.
19. Chernikov Y.
15. Zenchikov I.
29. Khremkin K.
10. Plastinin V. (A)
56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
51. Kitsyn M. (A)
Line 2
85. Zhuravlyov Y.
16. Averin N.
72. Trofimov Y.
89. Malyavin A.
7. Gordin A.
11. Lapin D.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)
71. Kolesnikov Y.
80. Demidovich V.
34. Mikhasyonok V.
Line 3
4. Bolshakov M.
44. Yerokhin A.
90. Nekrasov N.
42. Labutkin Y.
76. Kashtanov A.
76. Migur A.
14. Makhrin M. (A)
97. Krikunenko R.
44. Lukhovskoy N.
81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 4
26. Ishimnikov N.
59. Sokolov N.
96. Miller N.
88. Tesanov D.
18. Sushchev V.
95. Shlykov V.
36. Egorov E.
22. Sinyavsky P.
Substitutes
93. Romashkin P. (G)
74. Meshkovsky G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:40, 0 - 1, Glukhov N. (G), Plastinin V. (A),
18:20, 1 - 1, Karpovich D. (G), Gordin A. (A), Zaytsev O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:53, 2 - 1, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Karpovich D. (A),
Preview
Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 54:52. (average 2.7:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 2.9:2.4).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Perm
12
6
2
0
4
30:23
16
Last Results with these Odds
Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Molot Perm - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.