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Current Win Probability
Graz 99ers 47.2%
Draw 21.8%
Bolzano 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
19.8%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
22%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Graz 99ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Graz 99ers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Graz 99ers - Bolzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Lagace M. (G)
70. Domingue L. (G)
3. Hora F.
92. Leslie Z.
8. Holm O.
5. van d. L. J.
55. Swaney N.
19. McClure B.
12. Vela M. (C)
15. Elson T.
52. Huber P.
24. Schneider C. (A)
Line 2
49. Maier D.
22. Buono C.
18. Stapelfeldt P.
74. Hillman B.
64. Currie J.
10. Gazley D. (A)
22. Conley K.
77. Bradley M.
70. Lippitsch J.
76. Ratcliffe I.
Line 3
81. Kirchebner M.
53. Larcher E.
58. Hanus C.
26. Kivihalme T.
74. Feldner N.
11. DiGiacinto C.
28. Moosbrugger L.
9. Mantenuto D.
10. Collins C.
13. Gellon D.
Line 4
27. Gruber J.
27. Remolato N.
73. Dobnig J.
18. Misley B.
13. Schiechl M. (A)
93. Frigo L. (C)
17. Ganahl M. (A)
Substitutes
30. Wieser N. (G)
31. Costantini M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
16:41, 0 - 1, Ratcliffe I. (G), Kivihalme T. (A), Bradley M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
04:52, 0 - 2, DiGiacinto C. (G), Gellon D. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
05:53, 1 - 2, Hora F. (G), Swaney N. (A), Vela M. (A2)
16:04, 1 - 3, McClure B. (G), Leslie Z. (A), Buono C. (A2)
17:33, 2 - 3, Huber P. (G), Swaney N. (A), Collins C. (A2)
18:31, 3 - 3, Swaney N. (G), Hanus C. (A), Currie J. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:02, 4 - 3, Vela M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Graz won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Graz (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bolzano shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Graz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Graz has faced a series of away games on the road.
Graz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Bolzano in today's match, at odds of 2.77.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Graz has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:62 (averaging 2.2:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Graz against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 23:25 goals (averaging 2.3:2.5 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Bolzano: 14.16%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Bolzano
8
5
1
2
0
31:20
19
9
Graz99ers
9
2
2
2
3
23:27
12
Last Results with these Odds
Bolzano - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.