Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyEttan Ostra - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Gripen Nyköping		Wings Arlanda

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.05	2.13
	2.84	3.66	2.13
	2.86	3.81	2.14	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.05
	2.8	3.88	2.1
	2.5	4.05	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.3)	3.88 ↓ (4)	2.11 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gripen Nyköping
33.6%

Draw
23.5%

Wings Arlanda
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

23.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gripen Nyköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gripen Nyköping's performance.

Wings Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wings Arlanda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gripen Nyköping than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gripen Nyköping that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wings Arlanda than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wings Arlanda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gripen Nyköping - Wings Arlanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:12, 1 - 0, Kedbrant A. (G), Andersson H. (A), Andersson J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:36, 2 - 0, Sjocrona P. (G), Cederqvist O. (A), Hildebertzon W. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:54, 2 - 1, Andersson L. (G), Aronsson C. (A),
10:59, 2 - 2, Mattsson V. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Hedlund S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kedbrant A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Von Walden D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Holmberg E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Vannar Valther (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gripen won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Gripen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arlanda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gripen won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:25 (average 3.7:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Gripen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 4.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gripen HC Nyköping
Swedish HockeyEttan Ostra
13.11.24	Tyresö Hanviken - Gripen Nyköping	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Gripen Nyköping - Väsby	1:4 ✺
26.10.24	Gripen Nyköping - Sollentuna	5:4 ✺
23.10.24	Huddinge - Gripen Nyköping	4:3 penalties ✺
20.10.24	Gripen Nyköping - Visby Roma	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL
- Wings HC Arlanda
Swedish HockeyEttan Ostra
15.11.24	Väsby - Wings Arlanda	4:1 ✺
03.11.24	Wings Arlanda - Vallentuna	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Surahammar - Wings Arlanda	6:1 ✺
23.10.24	Wings Arlanda - Tyresö Hanviken	1:6 ✺
20.10.24	Enköping - Wings Arlanda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Ostra
29.09.24	Wings Arlanda - Gripen Nyköping	3:2
16.11.23	Gripen Nyköping - Wings Arlanda	3:2
04.10.23	Wings Arlanda - Gripen Nyköping	2:4
04.12.22	Wings Arlanda - Gripen Nyköping	1:3
22.10.22	Gripen Nyköping - Wings Arlanda	7:3
11.02.18	Wings Arlanda - Gripen Nyköping	5:3
19.01.18	Gripen Nyköping - Wings Arlanda	3:4 OT

Upcoming Matches