Match Info

NORWAY: EHL - RELEGATION - ROUND 6

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Grunerhallen (Oslo)


	Grüner		Narvik

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.75	1.8	Watch
	3.25	4.25	1.87
	3.3	4.3	1.85	Watch
	3.59	4.42	1.81
	3.59	4.42	1.82
	3.2	4.55	1.84	Watch
	3.25	4.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.55)	4.46 ↑ (4.2)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grüner
28%

Draw
20.9%

Narvik
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

21.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

18.6%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grüner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grüner's form might have worsened.

Narvik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Narvik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grüner than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narvik than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Grüner - Narvik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Narvik will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Malmborg A. (G)	30. Ingvaldsen D. (G)
22. Soderqvist R. (A)	94. Matushkin O.
24. Amundsen F.	29. Svarstad K. H.
11. Koblar T.	10. Byrkjeland B.
36. Lavik E.	21. Ceder J.
43. Francke-Enersen L.	15. Cizas U. (A)
Line 2
20. Nilsen Berg K.	22. Holstad J. (A)
15. Elmenhorst J.	4. Klofutar T.
17. Kvandal J.	71. Magnusson W.
94. Johnsgard T. (C)	27. Andersson N.
54. Nasstrom A.	9. Koskinen R.
Line 3
56. Wang Wikstol J.	55. Hilbertsen A.
13. Nielsen J. (A)	16. Laiho Trondsen T. (C)
27. Englund O.	13. Holten B.
25. Larsen K.	17. Nordlund M.
52. Hashim S.	11. Tveter T.
Line 4
	33. Ruud E.
	88. Marthinsen S.
	77. Klees C.
	40. Astrom S.
Substitutes
97. Elmenhorst A.	49. Plogas F. (G)
3. Knudsen S. C.
30. Knutsen M. (G)
Coaches
. Bjerke M.	. Glader F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
05:23, 0 - 1, Magnusson W. (G), Holstad J. (A), Klees C. (A2)
08:50, Koskinen R. (2 min),
10:35, 1 - 1, Johnsgard T. (G), Kvandal J. (A),
11:05, 1 - 2, Hilbertsen A. (G), Cizas U. (A), Laiho Trondsen T. (A2)
17:19, 1 - 3, Laiho Trondsen T. (G), Ceder J. (A),
18:22, Englund O. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:18, 1 - 4, Andersson N. (G), Svarstad K. H. (A), Byrkjeland B. (A2)
08:15, 1 - 5, Svarstad K. H. (G), Magnusson W. (A),
08:15, Malmborg A. ↓, Knutsen M. ↑,
11:51, Ceder J. (2 min),
12:12, Larsen K. (2 min),
12:12, Matushkin O. (2 min),
16:26, Elmenhorst J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
07:29, Nasstrom A. (2 min),
11:42, 1 - 6, Koskinen R. (G), Ceder J. (A), Andersson N. (A2)
14:39, Koskinen R. (2 min),
17:28, 2 - 6, Nasstrom A. (G), Elmenhorst A. (A),
18:33, Kvandal J. (2 min),
18:36, 2 - 7, Ceder J. (G), Cizas U. (A),
19:05, Byrkjeland B. (2 min),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grüner won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Narvik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Grüner won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 48-76.

Including matches at home between the teams Grüner won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33-38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grüner IL
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
26.03.24	Ringerike Panthers - Grüner	6:2 ✺
24.03.24	Comet - Grüner	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Narvik - Grüner	2:1 penalties ✺
16.03.24	Grüner - Ringerike Panthers	6:4 ✺
13.03.24	Grüner - Comet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Narvik IK
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
26.03.24	Comet - Narvik	4:3 penalties ✺
22.03.24	Narvik - Ringerike Panthers	4:3 ✺
20.03.24	Narvik - Grüner	2:1 penalties ✺
16.03.24	Narvik - Comet	9:3 ✺
13.03.24	Ringerike Panthers - Narvik	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
20.03.24	Narvik - Grüner	2:1 penalties
Norwegian Division 1 Hockey
18.02.24	Grüner - Narvik	5:4 OT
17.02.24	Grüner - Narvik	2:5
06.12.23	Grüner - Narvik	3:2
29.10.23	Narvik - Grüner	8:5
28.10.23	Narvik - Grüner	4:3 OT
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
24.03.22	Narvik - Grüner	5:0

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