Match Info

NMHL

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Gvardiya Krasnodar		Progress Glazov

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.45	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 (1.65)	4.45 (4.45)	3.76 (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gvardiya Krasnodar
55.3%

Draw
20.5%

Progress Glazov
24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

19.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gvardiya Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Progress Glazov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Gvardiya Krasnodar - Progress Glazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:17, 0 - 1, Savin V. (G), Fedorov M. (A), Matveyev D. (A2)
19:51, 1 - 1, Petrushenko D. (G), Maksudov A. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
04:55, 1 - 2, Otinov Y. (G), Fedorov M. (A), Savin V. (A2)
07:16, 2 - 2, Maksudov A. (G),
12:02, 3 - 2, Kiselyov D. (G), Aminov E. (A),
18:15, 3 - 3, Borodinov I. (G), Bykov V. (A),
19:06, 3 - 4, Brylyakov S. (G), Golovatenko V. (A), Afanasyev D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Gvardiya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Progress Glazov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Gvardiya is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 5.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
21.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk	3:4 OT ✺
20.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 OT ✺
17.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	6:2 ✺
16.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- HC Progress Glazov
RHL
16.02.26	Progress Glazov - Dizelist Penza	1:7 ✺
15.02.26	Progress Glazov - Dizelist Penza	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Progress Glazov - Kristall Saratov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
22.12.24	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:5 penalties
21.12.24	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:6

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