Match Info

NMHL

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Gvardiya Krasnodar		Sokol Novocheboksarsk

	1	X	2
	2.61	4.05	2.14
	2.45	4.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)	4.4 ↓ (4.8)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gvardiya Krasnodar
35.7%

Draw
20.6%

Sokol Novocheboksarsk
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

18.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

20.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sokol Novocheboksarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Novocheboksarsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:57, 1 - 0, Kiselyov D. (G), Deryabin N. (A),
07:24, 2 - 0, Maksudov A. (G),
19:39, 3 - 0, Kholodilin D. (G), Maksudov A. (A), Grishin S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:09, 4 - 0, Klimanov R. (G), Kiselyov D. (A),
09:59, 4 - 1, Idiyatullin R. (G), Zharovtsev A. (A), Siraziyev S. (A2)
10:09, 5 - 1, Krdzhonyan Y. (G), Klimanov R. (A),
18:41, 5 - 2, Ulitin R. (G), Dudkin D. (A), Bitev A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:13, 6 - 2, Ryabitsev D. (G), Aminov E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Novocheboksarsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of away games.

Recently, Novocheboksarsk has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 2.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 2.6:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
16.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:2 ✺
09.02.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:8 ✺
06.02.26	Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	1:4 ✺
05.02.26	Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL
- Sokol Novocheboksarsk
RHL
16.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Dizelist Penza	2:5 ✺
08.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3
02.04.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	3:0
30.03.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4
29.03.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:5
12.01.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4
11.01.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4 OT
18.12.24	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	0:2

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