Match Info

NMHL

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Bobrov		Gvardiya Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.95	7.01
	1.23	6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.39)	5.98 ↑ (4.88)	7.01 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bobrov
72.1%

Draw
15.1%

Gvardiya Krasnodar
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

18.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

20.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bobrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bobrov's performance.

Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bobrov than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bobrov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gvardiya Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:26, 0 - 1, Maksudov A. (G), Grishin S. (A), Deryabin N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
12:09, 1 - 1, Kosenko M. (G), Morozov N. (A), Kochetkov A. (A2)
13:51, 1 - 2, Maksudov A. (G), Grishin S. (A), Petrushenko D. (A2)
16:39, 1 - 3, Mindubayev R. (G),
17:26, 1 - 4, Klimanov R. (G), Kholodilin D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bobrov won 5.

Bobrov is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gvardiya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bobrov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bobrov is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bobrov will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bobrov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:11. (average 5.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bobrov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bobrov
RHL
05.02.26	Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:2 ✺
29.01.26	Dizelist Penza - Bobrov	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Dizelist Penza - Bobrov	3:5 ✺
26.01.26	Samara - Bobrov	1:5 ✺
25.01.26	Samara - Bobrov	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
05.02.26	Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	5:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
05.02.26	Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:2
25.11.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Bobrov	2:7
24.11.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Bobrov	1:9
27.01.25	Bobrov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:3
06.12.24	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Bobrov	2:4
05.12.24	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Bobrov	1:2 penalties

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