The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HC 19 Humenné 60.5%
Draw 19%
Topoľčany 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
18.7%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
20.4%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC 19 Humenné has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Topoľčany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC 19 Humenné than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HC 19 Humenné that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Topoľčany than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
HC 19 Humenné - Topoľčany Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Hurcik M. (G)
31. Mirt D. (G)
42. Novota M.
81. Babrusev I.
8. Cibak J.
71. Ejem M.
96. Lomako O.
24. Danielcak T.
53. Vrabel F.
19. Bodnar M.
61. Varga T.
21. Barcik A.
Line 2
20. Pulscak F.
6. Kubos P.
29. Vavercak P.
66. Bystrican M.
24. Stetka P.
39. Piacka E.
76. Zhelezkov A.
28. Hurtaj T.
10. Shakhvorostov V.
27. Ruzek J.
Line 3
15. Pavuk B.
78. Strban J.
3. Jacko M.
77. Hruska M.
21. Kurovskyi V.
88. Ozvald A.
11. Toma L.
96. Habermann J.
9. Novota A.
29. Geci A.
Line 4
12. Kurovskyi V.
22. Benko M.
23. Stasiniak A.
89. Suranyi S.
22. Vano D.
8. Matej A.
17. Malinak G.
97. Kohut M.
41. Palenik S.
Substitutes
31. Borak D. (G)
32. Irsak J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
19:53, 1 - 0, Toma L. (G), Vrabel F. (A), Novota M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:14, 2 - 0, Stetka P. (G), Shakhvorostov V. (A), Lomako O. (A2)
11:31, 2 - 1, Matej A. (G), Bodnar M. (A), Danielcak T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:17, 2 - 2, Bodnar M. (G), Benko M. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:56, 3 - 2, Shakhvorostov V. (G), Cibak J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HC 19 Humenné won 5.
HC 19 Humenné is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Topoľčany has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to HC 19 Humenné for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HC 19 Humenné has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:50 (averaging 3.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HC 19 Humenné against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 35:31 goals (averaging 3.2:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
HC 19 Humenne
9
6
3
0
0
33:18
24
2
Topolcany
9
5
0
3
1
36:26
18
Last Results with these Odds
HC 19 Humenné - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 59.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Topoľčany - the odds 4.26 are the expected chance of winning is 21.35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.