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Current Win Probability
HC Dukla Trenčín 54.5%
Draw 20.6%
Dukla Michalovce 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
21.4%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
21.4%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Dukla Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Dukla Michalovce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Michalovce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
HC Dukla Trenčín - Dukla Michalovce Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Hrenak D. (G)
33. Durny R. (G)
58. Merkley R.
7. Rees H.
2. Mikus J.
59. Welsh C.
72. Linden T.
27. Edmonds L.
51. Spooner R.
90. Boucher M.
4. Descheneau J.
22. Virtanen J.
Line 2
89. Ferenc J.
55. Stripai A.
44. Hrenak M.
44. Melisko J.
41. Kudrna A.
88. Fominykh D.
26. Barron T.
80. Smida S.
31. Lakatos D.
89. Safaraleyev I.
Line 3
33. Hatala A.
73. Stransky D.
74. Hlavac M.
5. Zekucia A.
22. Lunter L.
92. Simun E.
91. Krajc S.
76. Fedor R.
9. Siska J.
10. Matta I.
Line 4
7. Hain S.
12. Toth D.
14. Krajcovic A.
14. Kiss D.
92. Bubela M.
13. Stahon L.
18. Kalis M.
91. Kytnar M.
12. Reznicak K.
16. Hrabcak S.
Substitutes
30. Latkoczy S. (G)
39. Buzak T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:03, 0 - 1, Rees H. (G), Welsh C. (A), Kytnar M. (A2)
17:24, 1 - 1, Siska J. (G), Merkley R. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:54, 2 - 1, Descheneau J. (G), Spooner R. (A), Mikus J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:41, 3 - 1, Linden T. (G), Descheneau J. (A), Mikus J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 2.
Dukla Trenčín is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Michalovce have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dukla Trenčín is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Trenčín has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:53 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dukla Trenčín against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:24 goals (averaging 2.5:2.2 per game).