Match Info

Extraliga - Round 38

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: LOGSPEED CZ Arena (Plzen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	HC Plzeň 1929		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.3	4.3	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.1
	1.72	4.25	4	Watch
	1.75	3.89	4.17
	1.67	4.2	3.8
	1.73	4.15	4.11	Watch
	1.68	4.3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	4.17 ↓ (4.28)	4.1 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Plzeň 1929
54.8%

Draw
22.4%

Mladá Boleslav
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

21.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

21.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Plzeň 1929 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Malik N. (G)	38. Furch D. (G)
20. Zamorsky P. (A)	24. Pyrochta F. (A)
29. Percy S.	3. Janosik A. (C)
89. Holesinsky A.	70. Zdrahal P.
49. Simon D.	12. Fort T. (A)
84. Schleiss J. (C)	28. Skalicky P.
Line 2
13. Merezhko I.	45. Pavlik F.
65. Kvasnicka D.	33. Skarberg M.
63. Petman M.	66. Prochazka O.
23. Petman V.	87. Musil P.
92. Teply M.	47. Buchtele J.
Line 3
47. Lajunen V.	30. Kubicek S.
8. Malak D.	77. Havlin T.
18. Strnad L.	94. Lichtag J.
42. Filip M.	25. Malinek V.
22. Mechura A.	89. Moses S.
Line 4
41. Salda R.	97. Vlasak A.
17. Rohlik O.	44. Gewiese P.
30. Lev J. (A)	26. Kral P.
14. Sedlacek I.	49. Zavora J.
	10. Lintuniemi A.
Substitutes
26. Psenicka O.	93. Mokry V. (G)
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
Coaches
. Jandac J.	. Horava M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:30, Pyrochta F. (2 min),
09:43, 1 - 0, Lajunen V. (G), Filip M. (A), Zamorsky P. (A2)
19:14, Zdrahal P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:30, 2 - 0, Merezhko I. (G), Petman M. (A), Teply M. (A2)
10:52, Malak D. (2 min),
10:52, Lichtag J. (2 min),
17:33, 3 - 0, Teply M. (G), Petman M. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
01:58, Malak D. (2 min),
02:45, 3 - 1, Buchtele J. (G), Prochazka O. (A), Pyrochta F. (A2)
05:11, 4 - 1, Mechura A. (G), Filip M. (A),
09:00, Kubicek S. (2 min),
09:15, 5 - 1, Petman V. (G), Holesinsky A. (A), Teply M. (A2)
10:01, 6 - 1, Strnad L. (G), Filip M. (A), Malak D. (A2)
10:01, Furch D. ↓, Mokry V. ↑,
16:20, 6 - 2, Lichtag J. (G), Malinek V. (A),
16:20, Filip M. (2 min),
16:20, Malinek V. (2 min),
18:14, Lichtag J. (2 min),
18:14, Lev J. (2 min),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Plzeň may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Plzeň is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Jerabek J. (Health problems) Lalancette C. (Hand Injury) Siler J. (Knee Injury) Soukup M. (Injury)

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Cech A. (Injury) Griger D. (Injury) Lakatos D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mladá Boleslav: Berglund C. (Illness) Havlin T. (Illness) Suchy F. (Illness)

We predict that Plzeň will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 45:41. (average 2.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Plzeň won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 2.6:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Plzen	9	3	2	1	3	23:21	14
13	Mlada Boleslav	9	1	1	1	6	21:35	6

Last Results with these Odds

Mladá Boleslav - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 24.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Plzeň 1929
Czech Extraliga
02.01.26	Verva Litvínov - HC Plzeň 1929	1:8 ✺
28.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Rytíři Kladno	3:0 ✺
23.12.25	Kometa Brno - HC Plzeň 1929	3:2 OT ✺
21.12.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Pardubice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- BK Mlada Boleslav
Czech Extraliga
02.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Motor České Budějovice	4:2 ✺
30.12.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	2:5 ✺
23.12.25	Verva Litvínov - Mladá Boleslav	6:1 ✺
21.12.25	Mladá Boleslav - Energie Karlovy Vary	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
23.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - HC Plzeň 1929	2:1
08.10.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.25	Mladá Boleslav - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 OT
Czech Extraliga
11.03.25	Mladá Boleslav - HC Plzeň 1929	1:0 OT
10.03.25	Mladá Boleslav - HC Plzeň 1929	0:3
08.03.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav	2:3
07.03.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav	3:5

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