Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: LOGSPEED CZ Arena (Plzen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	HC Plzeň 1929		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	2.90	4.20	1.90	Watch
	2.65	4.40	2.10
	2.85	4.20	2.08	Watch
	2.78	3.98	2.17
	2.91	4.53	2
	2.75	3.90	2.14
	2.79	4.15	2.16	Watch
	2.75	4.30	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)	4.21 ↓ (4.23)	2.08 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Plzeň 1929
33.2%

Draw
22.1%

Skellefteå
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

21.8%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.6%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Plzeň 1929 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Skellefteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

HC Plzeň 1929 - Skellefteå Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skellefteå (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Skellefteå will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Ruzicka J. (G)	31. Lampinen J. (G)
3. Chromiak J.	25. Johansson P.
94. Rubins K.	4. Bergqvist R.
17. Rohlik O. (A)	29. Aagaard M.
42. Filip M. (A)	9. Stjernborg V. (C)
22. Mechura A.	72. Vuollet O.
Line 2
13. Merezhko I.	3. Grahn V.
16. Cech A.	44. Lundstrom O.
52. Titlbach A.	20. Fasching H.
30. Lev J.	22. Johnson J. (A)
84. Schleiss J. (C)	18. Annerstedt E.
Line 3
8. Malak D.	6. Forsfjall M.
27. Robertson C.	2. Sundqvist L.
18. Strnad L.	71. Davidsson J.
91. Zemlicka R.	12. Lindberg V.
11. Katic D.	73. Nordlund V.
Line 4
60. Eichler J.	13. Lorentzon L.
70. Ubl M.	26. Svensson F.
49. Simon D.	28. Kaderli A.
88. Fodor J.	33. Forsfjall Z. (A)
	23. Stenberg J.
Substitutes
35. Poustka E. (G)	1. Ringquist A. (G)
Coaches
. Veber J.	. Hermansson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:49, Stenberg J. (2 min),
04:49, Schleiss J. (2 min),
17:06, 0 - 1, Vuollet O. (G), Forsfjall M. (A), Aagaard M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:28, Kaderli A. (2 min),
11:04, Stjernborg V. (2 min),
13:13, Katic D. (2 min),
17:30, 0 - 2, Johansson P. (G), Aagaard M. (A), Stjernborg V. (A2)
19:28, 1 - 2, Mechura A. (G), Rohlik O. (A), Filip M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:19, Stjernborg V. (2 min),
04:19, Mechura A. (2 min),
14:05, Annerstedt E. (2 min),
14:05, Johnson J. (2 min),
15:06, 2 - 2, Chromiak J. (G), Filip M. (A), Mechura A. (A2)
16:41, 3 - 2, Lev J. (G), Strnad L. (A), Rubins K. (A2)
19:44, 4 - 2, Rohlik O. (G), Schleiss J. (A),
20:00, Malak D. (2 min),
20:00, Malak D. (2 min),

Preview

Plzeň is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

Skellefteå is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Plzeň has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Plzeň has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 2.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plzeň against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Outrights of Champions League Ice Hockey for now

Skelleftea: 15.51% Plzen: 3.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts	Pts
1	Plzen ✔	5	5	0	0	0	24:9	15	3.00
4	Skelleftea ✔	5	4	0	0	1	20:10	12	2.40

Last Results with these Odds

HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Skellefteå - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.06%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Plzeň 1929
Czech Extraliga
04.10.26	Energie Karlovy Vary - HC Plzeň 1929	4:1 ✺
02.10.26	Pardubice - HC Plzeň 1929	4:2 ✺
29.09.26	Mladá Boleslav - HC Plzeň 1929	1:4 ✺
27.09.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mountfield Hradec Králové	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Rytíři Kladno - HC Plzeň 1929	3:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWW
- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
03.10.26	Timrå - Skellefteå	1:4 ✺
01.10.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 OT ✺
29.09.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	6:1 ✺
26.09.26	Örebro - Skellefteå	3:0 ✺
24.09.26	HV71 - Skellefteå	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
11.12.18	HC Plzeň 1929 - Skellefteå	2:1 penalties
04.12.18	Skellefteå - HC Plzeň 1929	3:3

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