Match Info

D1 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	HCMP		Diables Rouges de Valenciennes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	4.65	2.04
	2.65	4.30	2.10	Watch
	2.45	4.5	2.05
	2.5	4.25	2.11
	2.45	4.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)	4.49 ↓ (4.68)	2.06 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HCMP
36%

Draw
20.1%

Diables Rouges de Valenciennes
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

19.3%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

19%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HCMP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Diables Rouges de Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diables Rouges de Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

HCMP - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In recent matches, HCMP has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valenciennes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Valenciennes has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HCMP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 3:6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Valenciennes	5	0	0	0	5	8:23	-6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
20.12.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - HCMP	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	HCMP - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
09.12.25	Drakkars de Caen - HCMP	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	SOC Hockey sur Glace - HCMP	6:3 ✺
29.11.25	HCMP - Meudon	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLLW
- Diables Rouges de Valenciennes
French D1 Ice Hockey
20.12.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Meudon	6:7 ✺
13.12.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Corsaires de Dunkerque	3:4 ✺
10.12.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Yétis du Mont-Blanc	1:2 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Nantes - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	4:3 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Tours	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
18.10.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - HCMP	7:3
14.12.24	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - HCMP	5:3

HCMP - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes