Match Info

D1 - Round 28

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	HCMP		Drakkars de Caen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	6	1.36
	4.94	6.42	1.37
	6.5	5	1.3
	5.71	5.35	1.36
	4.6	5.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (4.6)	5.71 ↓ (5.8)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HCMP
17%

Draw
15.9%

Drakkars de Caen
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

15.3%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

17%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HCMP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Drakkars de Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drakkars de Caen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Drakkars de Caen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HCMP - Drakkars de Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

Recent form of HCMP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Drakkars de Caen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Drakkars de Caen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HCMP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, HCMP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Caen	1	0	0	1	0	3:4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
21.02.26	HCMP - SOC Hockey sur Glace	2:7 ✺
14.02.26	Meudon - HCMP	6:2 ✺
07.02.26	HCMP - Villard-de-Lans	3:4 ✺
03.02.26	Corsaires de Dunkerque - HCMP	2:3 OT ✺
31.01.26	HCMP - Yétis du Mont-Blanc	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWL
- Drakkars de Caen
French D1 Ice Hockey
21.02.26	Drakkars de Caen - Meudon	6:2 ✺
14.02.26	Villard-de-Lans - Drakkars de Caen	2:1 OT ✺
07.02.26	Drakkars de Caen - Corsaires de Dunkerque	4:1 ✺
04.02.26	Yétis du Mont-Blanc - Drakkars de Caen	3:5 ✺
31.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Nantes	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
09.12.25	Drakkars de Caen - HCMP	5:2
12.10.24	HCMP - Drakkars de Caen	3:2 OT

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