The best margin for this event is 11.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JHT Kalajoki 47%
Draw 15%
Virkiä 38%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44%
14.8%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
15.8%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JHT Kalajoki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Virkiä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JHT Kalajoki than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virkiä than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JHT won 3.
JHT has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Virkiä is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Virkiä could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, JHT has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:51 (averaging 3.5:4.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JHT against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 22:22 goals (averaging 4.4:4.4 per game).