Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Köping		Surahammar

	1	X	2
	3	4.3	1.85
	3.4	4.5	1.75
	3.1	4.4	1.74
	3.17	4.6	1.72
	3.19	5.2	1.77
	3.2	4.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.56)	4.58 ↑ (3.77)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köping
28.6%

Draw
19.9%

Surahammar
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

23%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

17.6%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köping's form might have worsened.

Surahammar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Surahammar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köping than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Köping - Surahammar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köping won 0.

Köping has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Surahammar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Surahammar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Köping won 20 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 101-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Köping won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 51-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Köping HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
19.10.22	Köping - Mariestad BoIS	4:7 ✺
16.10.22	Tranås - Köping	5:1 ✺
12.10.22	Lindlöven - Köping	7:2 ✺
09.10.22	Köping - Skövde	2:5 ✺
05.10.22	Borlänge - Köping	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
19.10.22	Forshaga - Surahammar	7:6 OT ✺
16.10.22	Surahammar - Skövde	3:2 ✺
14.10.22	Surahammar - Eskilstuna Linden	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Dalen - Surahammar	6:4 ✺
05.10.22	Surahammar - Mariestad BoIS	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
12.11.21	Surahammar - Köping	4:3
15.10.21	Köping - Surahammar	1:3
24.02.21	Köping - Surahammar	0:3
03.02.21	Surahammar - Köping	8:4
13.01.21	Köping - Surahammar	3:5
25.11.20	Surahammar - Köping	3:4
15.10.20	Köping - Surahammar	4:0

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