The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kadaň 46.9%
Draw 20.7%
Děčín 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
18.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
19.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kadaň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kadaň's form might have worsened.
Děčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Děčín's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kadaň than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Děčín than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
15:21, 1 - 0, Vrtek V. (G), Matai J. (A), Stary M. (A2)
18:17, 1 - 1, Scafari A. (G), Dvorak Jan (A), Volosin T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:26, 1 - 2, Volosin T. (G), Jursa M. (A), Scafari A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
07:21, 2 - 2, Matai J. (G), Hynek F. (A), Vrtek V. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:55, 3 - 2, Hynek F. (G),
Preview
In recent outings, Kadaň has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Děčín is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Děčín could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Děčín has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Kadaň is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kadaň in today's match, at odds of 1.69.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Kadaň has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:22 (averaging 3.6:4.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kadaň against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:16 goals (averaging 4:5.3 per game).
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