Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Hatstore Arena (Kalmar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.3	2.05	Watch
	2.95	4.2	2
	2.92	4.33	2.09	Watch
	2.8	3.87	2.09
	2.84	4.18	2.09
	2.7	3.9	2
	2.85	4.15	2.07	Watch
	2.92	4.33	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)	4.16 ↑ (4.06)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
32.6%

Draw
22.3%

Djurgården
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

21.9%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Djurgården have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Kalmar - Djurgården Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
65. Crespin J. (G)	30. Havelid H. (G)
27. Nilsson H. (C)	3. Berg A.
15. Lerby C.	82. Sissons C.
19. Vanderbeck A.	48. Axelsson D.
63. Fonteyne M.	32. Kruger M. (C)
50. Loimaranta V.	53. Blomgren D. (A)
Line 2
8. Schreiber M.	20. Tychonick J.
4. Cosgrove T.	10. Ragnarsson J.
48. Pettersson H.	91. Kelleher T.
91. Laz V.	40. Costmar A.
20. Dahlstrom J.	15. Eriksson F.
Line 3
33. Hurtig A.	6. Havelid M.
43. Eckmyhl W.	45. Blixt H.
25. Svensson J.	38. Eklund V.
9. Nilsson A.	26. Weigel F.
73. Johansson V.	14. Frondell A.
Line 4
21. Hasek J.	43. Krogdahl M.
71. Olsson G. (A)	67. Wersall M.
11. Wigley M. (A)	24. Rensfeldt L. (A)
18. Palmberg M.	46. Grewe A.
Substitutes
31. Pietila B. (G)	31. Andren V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:25, 0 - 1, Tychonick J. (G), Grewe A. (A),
19:15, 1 - 1, Vanderbeck A. (G), Schreiber M. (A), Fonteyne M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:38, 2 - 1, Loimaranta V. (G), Lerby C. (A), Vanderbeck A. (A2)
11:39, 2 - 2, Kelleher T. (G), Eriksson F. (A),
18:17, 2 - 3, Havelid M. (G), Frondell A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:11, 2 - 4, Kelleher T. (G), Sissons C. (A), Costmar A. (A2)
05:21, 2 - 5, Havelid M. (G), Rensfeldt L. (A),
15:38, 2 - 6, Costmar A. (G),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Kalmar is Qualified for HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Djurgården is Qualified for HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Djurgården have a series of home games.

Djurgården will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:26 (average 3:3.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 3.3:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Kalmar - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Djurgården - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.12%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar HC
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
05.03.25	Mora - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
28.02.25	Tingsryd - Kalmar	2:4 ✺
26.02.25	Kalmar - AIK	1:3 ✺
24.02.25	Södertälje - Kalmar	4:7 ✺
22.02.25	Kalmar - Östersund	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Djurgardens IF Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
05.03.25	Djurgården - Oskarshamn	5:1 ✺
01.03.25	Djurgården - Östersund	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Djurgården - Tingsryd	4:2 ✺
23.02.25	Nybro Vikings - Djurgården	1:4 ✺
21.02.25	Djurgården - Södertälje	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
17.12.24	Djurgården - Kalmar	3:5
13.11.24	Kalmar - Djurgården	3:4 OT
11.10.24	Djurgården - Kalmar	4:3 OT
08.03.24	Kalmar - Djurgården	1:4
20.12.23	Djurgården - Kalmar	5:1
27.11.23	Djurgården - Kalmar	3:2
21.10.23	Kalmar - Djurgården	6:3

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