Match Info

HockeyEttan Sodra

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: NKT Arena Karlskrona (Karlskrona) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	HockeyEttan TV


	Karlskrona		Mariestad BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.05	3	Watch
	1.88	4.3	3.11	Watch
	1.83	4	3
	1.92	4.05	3.04
	1.78	4.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)	4.1 (4.1)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlskrona
48.4%

Draw
21.9%

Mariestad BoIS
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

21.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

22.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mariestad BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Karlskrona - Mariestad BoIS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:35, 0 - 1, Hoglund R. (G), Israelsson K. (A), Astley R. A. (A2)
19:45, 1 - 1, Ratkovic Berndtsson J. (G), Smeds V. (A), Ekefjard E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
02:24, 1 - 2, Israelsson K. (G), Weino W. (A),
05:54, 2 - 2, Engstrom L. (G), Smeds V. (A),
09:16, 3 - 2, Ratkovic Berndtsson J. (G), Smeds V. (A), Ekefjard E. (A2)
13:49, 4 - 2, Sjoblom L. (G), Smeds V. (A), Ekefjard E. (A2)
17:09, 5 - 2, Hagman O. (G), Carlsson R. (A),

Preview

Karlskrona is Qualified for HockeyEttan Sodra (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlskrona won 2.

Karlskrona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mariestad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karlskrona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Karlskrona might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Karlskrona will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karlskrona won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 50:41. (average 2.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlskrona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 3.3:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Karlskrona	10	5	4	0	1	34:16	23
4	Mariestad	9	6	1	0	2	45:24	20

Last Results with these Odds

Karlskrona - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 48.83%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlskrona HK
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
20.02.26	Dalen - Karlskrona	5:6 OT ✺
14.02.26	Karlskrona - Huddinge	6:2 ✺
08.02.26	Karlskrona - Järfälla	10:1 ✺
06.02.26	Karlskrona - Borås	3:2 OT ✺
01.02.26	Vita Hästen - Karlskrona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL
- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
21.02.26	Mörrums GoIS - Mariestad BoIS	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mariestad BoIS - Hanvikens	4:5 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Visby Roma - Mariestad BoIS	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nyköping - Mariestad BoIS	2:7 ✺
04.02.26	Mariestad BoIS - Borås	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
07.11.25	Mariestad BoIS - Karlskrona	0:5
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Norra
14.03.25	Mariestad BoIS - Karlskrona	5:2
11.03.25	Karlskrona - Mariestad BoIS	1:4
10.03.25	Karlskrona - Mariestad BoIS	2:0
07.03.25	Mariestad BoIS - Karlskrona	2:1
06.03.25	Mariestad BoIS - Karlskrona	1:2
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
02.02.25	Mariestad BoIS - Karlskrona	4:3 OT

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