Match Info

Extraliga - Round 38

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Winning Group Arena (Brno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Kometa Brno		Energie Karlovy Vary

	1	X	2
	2.18	4	2.8	Watch
	2.16	4.25	2.7	Watch
	2.04	4.33	2.93	Watch
	2.1	4	2.7
	2.06	4.05	3.03	Watch
	2.15	4.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.89)	4.19 ↑ (4.1)	2.81 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kometa Brno
44.3%

Draw
22.4%

Energie Karlovy Vary
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

22.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kometa Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kometa Brno's form might have worsened.

Energie Karlovy Vary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Energie Karlovy Vary's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kometa Brno than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Karlovy Vary than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Energie Karlovy Vary, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	6.9%	69%

Kometa Brno - Energie Karlovy Vary Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Kometa Brno will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Karlovy Vary will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlovy Vary: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Kometa Brno (votes: 7 - 35%). Karlovy Vary (votes: 13 - 65%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kometa Brno (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Kometa Brno (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Karlovy Vary (votes: 13 - 61.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Kavan J. (G)	0. Frodl D. (G)
28. Zabransky L.	72. Jaks J. (A)
23. Scotka J. (A)	71. Moravec D.
20. Zohorna H. (C)	8. Beranek O. (A)
80. Zohorna T. (A)	21. Cernoch J. (C)
22. Pospisil K.	29. Stastny D.
Line 2
93. Holland R.	24. Mysak J.
82. Kral F.	55. Mamcics R.
57. Hartl M.	86. Bambula J.
6. Cingel L.	18. Jones N.
83. Stransky S.	11. Sapousek R.
Line 3
24. Gulasi M.	3. Dello T.
8. Daloga M.	6. Koci M.
72. Kollar A.	12. Tomek P.
18. Zboril A.	10. Egle H.
16. Moravec D.	23. Jiskra V.
Line 4
85. Jurny J.	22. Mikyska D.
63. Ferda R.	19. Koffer F.
10. Ekrt J.	15. Minarik J.
15. Kos J.	70. Lukosik A.
Substitutes
96. Halacka D.	31. Kral D. (G)
30. Stezka A. (G)
Coaches
. Pokorny K.	. Patera P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:01, 0 - 1, Bambula J. (G), Sapousek R. (A), Koci M. (A2)
05:35, 1 - 1, Zohorna T. (G), Zohorna H. (A), Pospisil K. (A2)
15:37, Egle H. (2 min),
16:16, 2 - 1, Kollar A. (G), Pospisil K. (A), Stransky S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:38, 2 - 2, Koci M. (G), Egle H. (A), Dello T. (A2)
03:06, 2 - 3, Koci M. (G), Bambula J. (A), Jones N. (A2)
11:48, Koffer F. (2 min),
11:48, Pospisil K. (2 min),
11:48, Pospisil K. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01:10, Cernoch J. (2 min),
01:10, Zohorna T. (2 min),
09:39, Minarik J. (2 min),
09:39, Holland R. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kometa Brno won 3.

Recent form of Kometa Brno has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlovy Vary has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kometa Brno: Davidson B. (Injury) Ilomaki A. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Karlovy Vary: Malat S. (Injury) Redlich T. (Upper-Body Injury) Rulik A. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kometa Brno won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:44. (average 2.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kometa Brno won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 3.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Karlovy Vary	8	5	0	0	3	19:15	15
11	Kometa Brno	8	2	2	0	4	24:26	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kometa Brno
Czech Extraliga
02.01.26	Kometa Brno - Rytíři Kladno	2:4 ✺
30.12.25	Oceláři Třinec - Kometa Brno	4:3 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Kometa Brno - Pardubice	1:4 ✺
26.12.25	Motor České Budějovice - Kometa Brno	3:2 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Kometa Brno - HC Plzeň 1929	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Energie Karlovy Vary
Czech Extraliga
02.01.26	Energie Karlovy Vary - Pardubice	3:2 OT ✺
30.12.25	Rytíři Kladno - Energie Karlovy Vary	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Energie Karlovy Vary	2:3 ✺
23.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Motor České Budějovice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
23.11.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Kometa Brno	3:2
05.10.25	Kometa Brno - Energie Karlovy Vary	3:1
27.03.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Kometa Brno	0:1
25.03.25	Kometa Brno - Energie Karlovy Vary	5:3
23.03.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Kometa Brno	1:0
22.03.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Kometa Brno	0:2
19.03.25	Kometa Brno - Energie Karlovy Vary	3:2

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