Match Info

NMHL

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Krasnodar		Sokol Novocheboksarsk

	1	X	2
	2.61	4.05	2.14
	2.45	4.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)	4.4 ↓ (4.8)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
35.7%

Draw
20.6%

Sokol Novocheboksarsk
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

18.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

19.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sokol Novocheboksarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Novocheboksarsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:57, 1 - 0, Kiselyov D. (G), Deryabin N. (A),
07:24, 2 - 0, Maksudov A. (G),
19:39, 3 - 0, Kholodilin D. (G), Maksudov A. (A), Grishin S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:09, 4 - 0, Klimanov R. (G), Kiselyov D. (A),
09:59, 4 - 1, Idiyatullin R. (G), Zharovtsev A. (A), Siraziyev S. (A2)
10:09, 5 - 1, Krdzhonyan Y. (G), Klimanov R. (A),
18:41, 5 - 2, Ulitin R. (G), Dudkin D. (A), Bitev A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:13, 6 - 2, Ryabitsev D. (G), Aminov E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Novocheboksarsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of away games.

Recently, Novocheboksarsk has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 2.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 2.6:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
16.02.26	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Krasnodar	4:2 ✺
09.02.26	Proton Novovoronezh - Krasnodar	2:8 ✺
06.02.26	Bobrov - Krasnodar	1:4 ✺
05.02.26	Bobrov - Krasnodar	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL
- Sokol Novocheboksarsk
RHL
16.02.26	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Dizelist Penza	2:5 ✺
08.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.02.26	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3
02.04.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Krasnodar	3:0
30.03.25	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4
29.03.25	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:5
12.01.25	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4
11.01.25	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4 OT
18.12.24	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Krasnodar	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
29.10.26	Krasnodar - Kristall Saratov	✺

Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk