The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krefeld Pinguine 34.4%
Draw 22.9%
EHC München 42.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.3%
21.7%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
23.7%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krefeld Pinguine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krefeld Pinguine's performance.
EHC München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EHC München might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krefeld Pinguine than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krefeld Pinguine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC München than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EHC München could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Krefeld Pinguine - EHC München Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Bick F. (G)
30. Bibeau A. (G)
55. Vandane D.
55. Wagner F.
93. Percy S.
24. Murphy R.
95. Santos M.
27. Oswald V.
37. Newton M.
52. Hager P.
87. Gogulla P.
42. Ehliz Y.
Line 2
8. Gildon M.
44. Carrick T.
22. Mebus O.
3. Klok L.
9. Muller Mar.
10. Hede E.
76. Varone P.
12. Ferguson B.
16. Kero T.
91. McKenna J.
Line 3
44. Dybowski Z.
93. Kastner M.
77. Kohler M.
22. Pokka V.
27. Suess C.
8. Rieder T.
90. Payerl A.
48. Thaler L.
85. Hauf L.
17. Hirose T.
Line 4
26. Bruch D.
9. Warnecke M.
38. Schutz T.
14. Becker L.
71. Proske Y.
11. Eisenschmid M.
70. Daubner M.
Substitutes
32. Jatkola J. (G)
32. Bittner M. (G)
Coaches
. Popiesch T.
. David O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
03:42, McKenna J. (2 min),
04:12, 1 - 0, Santos M. (G), Newton M. (A), Gogulla P. (A2)
10:12, 1 - 1, Oswald V. (G), Hager P. (A), Ehliz Y. (A2)
11:05, Kohler M. (2 min),
12:26, 1 - 2, Hager P. (G), Rieder T. (A),
15:43, Mebus O. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:40, 1 - 3, Hager P. (G), Oswald V. (A),
02:06, Thaler L. (2 min),
08:32, Newton M. (2 min),
08:32, Eisenschmid M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:10, 2 - 3, Payerl A. (G), Santos M. (A),
15:34, Percy S. (2 min),
16:09, Payerl A. (2 min),
16:09, (2 min),
16:49, 2 - 4, Hager P. (G), Rieder T. (A), Murphy R. (A2)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 4th in the Promotion - DEL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krefeld Pinguine won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Krefeld Pinguine (last 5 matches: 1 win).
München has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with München holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Krefeld Pinguine has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:83 (averaging 1.9:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krefeld Pinguine against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 21:42 goals (averaging 2.1:4.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Munchen
12
7
1
1
3
38:37
24
9
Krefeld Pinguine
13
5
0
1
7
35:37
16
Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now
Munchen: 15.33% Krefeld Pinguine: 1.02%
Last Results with these Odds
EHC München - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.97%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.