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Current Win Probability
Lillehammer 32.7%
Draw 21.9%
Stjernen 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
22.8%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
24.3%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillehammer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Stjernen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjernen than the current prediction. (-3%)
Lillehammer - Stjernen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Morck A. (G)
70. Byrkjeland K. L. (G)
8. Nilsson D.
19. Rosdahl L.
47. Sevanen R.
16. Jessesen N.
28. Langland O.
86. Eliesen N.
89. Backstrand A.
14. Ohman O.
21. Ellingsen M.
20. Aarseth Opsahl J.
Line 2
39. Juusola V.
13. Pedersen H.
15. Soudsky R. A.
68. Nordlund T.
16. Ellingsen A.
87. Hedman L.
26. Eidsa Arnestad J.
27. Ryen S.
18. Salsten V. O.
89. Gran E.
Line 3
12. Ondrcka L.
4. Juntti M. A.
10. Strand M.
73. Lynch C.
19. Fredriksen V.
94. Andersen E.
57. Hartikainen S.
26. Myklebust C.
98. Leibnitz J.
83. Baanerud D.
Line 4
13. Kristiansen M.
67. Olsen M.
27. Sletmoe-Kjaernet E.
96. Jakobsson K.
23. Skarpjordet P.
77. Tillman J. F.
77. Olsen M.
14. Evjen N.
Substitutes
70. Halonen N. (G)
35. Nauseda F. (G)
Coaches
. Martikainen S.
. Fjeldstad L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
08:36, (2 min),
09:03, 0 - 1, Aarseth Opsahl J. (G), Hedman L. (A),
14:25, 0 - 2, Hedman L. (G), Jakobsson K. (A),
14:25, Morck A. ↓, Halonen N. ↑,
19:26, Sevanen R. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
06:04, 1 - 2, Soudsky R. A. (G), Ellingsen A. (A),
07:19, Baanerud D. (2 min),
13:33, Pedersen H. (2 min),
15:41, 1 - 3, Pedersen H. (G), Jakobsson K. (A),
16:18, Strand M. (2 min),
18:21, Ryen S. (2 min),
18:28, Pedersen H. (2 min),
18:45, 2 - 3, Ellingsen A. (G), Hartikainen S. (A), Juusola V. (A2)
19:27, 3 - 3, Hartikainen S. (G), Juusola V. (A), Ellingsen A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Ellingsen A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Hedman L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Hartikainen S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Jakobsson K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ellingsen M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nordlund T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Fredriksen V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ohman O. (Penalty Shot),
5, Salsten V. O. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillehammer won 4.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Stjernen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Stjernen has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Stjernen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lillehammer has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:55 (averaging 3.1:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lillehammer against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 29:23 goals (averaging 3.2:2.6 per game).
Norway
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Morck A. (G) 
Byrkjeland K. L. (G) 
Sevanen R. 
Nauseda F. (G) 
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