Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Titan Arena (Liptovsky Mikulas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play


	Liptovský Mikuláš		MsHK Žilina

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.2	2.15
	2.70	4.33	2.10
	2.59	3.97	2.29
	2.45	3.93	2.26
	2.53	4.26	2.27	Watch
	2.4	3.85	2.2
	2.51	3.95	2.24	Watch
	2.49	4	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.67)	4.06 ↓ (4.08)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liptovský Mikuláš
36.1%

Draw
22.5%

MsHK Žilina
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

22.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

23.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liptovský Mikuláš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

MsHK Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liptovský Mikuláš than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MsHK Žilina than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskovic R. (G)	32. Janus J. (G)
52. Acolatse S.	67. Cajkovsky M.
73. Golian A.	13. Gajdos F.
44. Coe B.	26. Torok T.
53. Jaworski J.	21. Walega K.
19. Chovan M.	88. Petras S.
Line 2
5. De La Gorgendiere A.	48. Gachulinec D.
12. Funtek P.	95. Holenda M.
58. Vojtech M.	82. Ritchie B.
29. Chyzowski R.	23. Harris B.
67. Zaborsky T.	22. Repcik P.
Line 3
76. Fekiac F.	15. Vajko T.
98. Lalik L.	16. Miller B.
51. Ferkodic M.	25. Vasas F.
22. Vankus M.	20. Galambos P.
18. Sukel J.	8. Koys P.
Line 4
65. Ryba N. P.	9. Urdak L.
20. Ondrejcak M.	17. Juscak M.
24. Sandor P.	27. Dej R.
17. Uhrik M.	12. Macak K.
77. Podolinsky R.
Substitutes
39. Lindberg F. (G)	33. Rychlik R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:02, 0 - 1, Repcik P. (G), Harris B. (A), Ritchie B. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
12:52, 0 - 2, Repcik P. (G), Cajkovsky M. (A), Harris B. (A2)
13:01, 0 - 3, Galambos P. (G), Vasas F. (A), Miller B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:37, 0 - 4, Petras S. (G),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liptovský Mikuláš won 4.

Liptovský Mikuláš has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Žilina is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Liptovský Mikuláš in today's match, at odds of 2.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liptovský Mikuláš has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:51 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liptovský Mikuláš against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 33:24 goals (averaging 3.3:2.4 per game).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Zilina: 13.27% Liptovsky Mikulas: 5.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Zilina	9	5	0	2	2	30:18	17
6	Liptovsky Mikulas	9	5	0	1	3	27:28	16

Last Results with these Odds

Liptovský Mikuláš - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

MsHK Žilina - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHk 32 Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovak Extraliga
04.10.26	Poprad - Liptovský Mikuláš	5:1 ✺
02.10.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - HC Košice	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Nitra - Liptovský Mikuláš	3:5 ✺
27.09.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - Prešov	6:4 ✺
25.09.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Liptovský Mikuláš	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWWW
- MsHK Žilina
Slovak Extraliga
04.10.26	MsHK Žilina - Banská Bystrica	2:3 penalties ✺
02.10.26	MsHK Žilina - Slovan Bratislava	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Poprad - MsHK Žilina	4:3 penalties ✺
26.09.26	MsHK Žilina - HC Košice	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Nitra - MsHK Žilina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
27.02.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	2:0
18.01.26	MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš	3:2
16.11.25	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	3:1
03.10.25	MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.25	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	4:3 OT
Slovak Extraliga
31.01.25	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	4:1
12.01.25	MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš	5:4

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