The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 55.7%
Draw 20.2%
Ambrì-Piotta 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
22%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
24%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Ambrì-Piotta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+2%)
Lugano - Ambrì Piotta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Schlegel N. (G)
30. Wuthrich P. (G)
60. Thomson L.
72. Heed T.
25. Muller M.
14. Worge Kreu W.
17. Fazzini L.
88. De Luca T. (C)
21. Sanford Z.
76. Schnarr N.
14. Canonica L.
34. Jarventie R.
Line 2
26. Aebischer D.
59. Wuthrich D.
9. Zanetti B.
86. Pezzullo R.
19. Kupari R.
77. Joly M.
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
91. Kodytek P.
91. Olsson D.
17. Muller M.
Line 3
22. Alatalo S.
27. Dotti Z.
52. Peltonen J.
7. Dotti I.
12. Innala J.
43. Muggli T.
73. Shore N.
44. Heim A.
15. Lycksell O.
11. Borradori N.
Line 4
11. Zanetti M.
96. Hafliger A.
7. Tanner R.
73. Bosson D.
10. Bertaggia A.
13. Landry M.
37. Landry L.
Substitutes
13. Peltonen A.
22. Kostner D.
37. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
90. Senn G. (G)
Coaches
. Mitell T.
. Tapola J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
01:56, 1 - 0, Bertaggia A. (G),
03:01, Kupari R. (2 min),
03:16, 1 - 1, Jarventie R. (G), Schnarr N. (A),
05:34, Muggli T. (2 min),
07:31, 2 - 1, Thurkauf C. (G), Alatalo S. (A),
16:58, Thomson L. (2 min),
18:15, 2 - 2, De Luca T. (G), Wuthrich D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
04:36, Aebischer D. (2 min),
04:36, Jarventie R. (2 min),
07:52, 3 - 2, Shore N. (G), Zanetti B. (A), Innala J. (A2)
08:29, 3 - 3, Borradori N. (G), Heed T. (A), Muggli T. (A2)
14:55, 3 - 4, Joly M. (G), Kodytek P. (A),
16:44, 3 - 5, Landry L. (G), Landry M. (A),
19:12, Dotti I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
14:38, Fazzini L. (2 min),
17:16, Dotti Z. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Lugano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Lugano for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:41 (averaging 3.1:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 36:18 goals (averaging 3.3:1.6 per game).
Watch
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Schlegel N. (G) 
Thomson L. 
Heed T. 
De Luca T. (C) 
Sanford Z. 
Schnarr N. 
Kodytek P. 
Olsson D. 
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