The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 48.6%
Draw 21.5%
Davos 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.5%
21.8%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
23.1%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.
Davos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Davos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Davos than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Davos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - Davos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Mayer R. (G)
29. Aeschlimann S. (G)
60. Thomson L.
46. Egli D.
25. Muller M.
90. Jung S. (A)
10. Bertaggia A.
93. Frehner Y.
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
70. Corvi E. (A)
12. Innala J.
18. Zadina F.
Line 2
26. Aebischer D.
58. Allard F.
9. Zanetti B.
38. Frick L.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
72. Kessler T.
21. Sanford Z.
25. Waidacher B.
15. Lycksell O.
21. Parree J.
Line 3
22. Alatalo S. (A)
55. Andersson C.
52. Peltonen J.
28. Gernat M.
19. Kupari R.
13. Aebli N.
73. Shore N.
66. Nussbaumer V.
7. Tanner R.
22. Lemieux B.
Line 4
65. Cjunskis H.
16. Van der Kaaij G.
11. Zanetti M.
87. Steiner L.
23. Morini G.
17. Jager K. (C)
91. Olsson D.
19. Tambellini A.
Substitutes
27. Henry C.
51. Hollenstein L. (G)
34. Schlegel N. (G)
Coaches
. Mitell T.
. Holden J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:11, Peltonen J. (2 min),
14:11, Jager K. (2 min),
16:47, Allard F. (2 min),
17:14, 1 - 0, Innala J. (G), Alatalo S. (A), Shore N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
04:38, 1 - 1, Kessler T. (G), Parree J. (A),
06:56, 1 - 2, Zadina F. (G), Andersson C. (A), Aeschlimann S. (A2)
16:06, 1 - 3, Allard F. (G), Corvi E. (A), Zadina F. (A2)
19:14, Jung S. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:51, 2 - 3, Thurkauf C. (G),
15:18, Parree J. (2 min),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0.
In recent outings, Lugano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Davos is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Lugano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Lugano in today's match, at odds of 2.1.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:58 (averaging 2.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 25:29 goals (averaging 2.5:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
11
Davos
17
6
1
1
9
39:49
21
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Davos: 8.51% Lugano: 4.38%
Last Results with these Odds
Lugano - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
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Mayer R. (G) 
Thomson L. 
Zadina F. 
Allard F. 
Sanford Z. 
Lycksell O. 
Gernat M. 
Cjunskis H. 
Zanetti M. 
Olsson D. 
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