Match Info

NMHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	MHK Ryazan		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.6	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	4.6 (4.6)	4.89 (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MHK Ryazan
61.6%

Draw
19.8%

Dizelist Penza
18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

20.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for MHK Ryazan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Dizelist Penza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHK Ryazan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
01:47, 1 - 0, Sokolov I. (G), Kuzmin E. (A),
03:15, 2 - 0, Kolykhalov K. (G), Mikheyev Y. (A),
04:14, 3 - 0, Belitsyn N. (G), Dolgikh V. (A), Kuzmin E. (A2)
06:51, 4 - 0, Nosachyov B. (G), Pashchenko M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:12, 5 - 0, Kiselyov N. (G), Kolykhalov K. (A), Mikheyev Y. (A2)
16:53, 5 - 1, Zvyozdochkin D. (G), Moskvin K. (A), Vlasenkov S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
13:13, 6 - 1, Kolykhalov K. (G), Nosachyov B. (A),
17:03, 7 - 1, Kolykhalov K. (G), Mikheyev Y. (A), Nosachyov B. (A2)

Preview

MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MHK Ryazan won 5.

MHK Ryazan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dizelist's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dizelist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, MHK Ryazan has had a series of home games.

In this match, MHK Ryazan is the team to beat.

We predict that MHK Ryazan will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MHK Ryazan won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 52:55. (average 2.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, MHK Ryazan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:37. (average 2.9:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Dizelist Penza - the odds 4.89 are the expected chance of winning is 18.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Ryazan
RHL
15.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:1 OT ✺
08.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	5:2 ✺
07.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Samara	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Samara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
15.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:1 OT ✺
12.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Dizelist Penza	6:3 ✺
11.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Dizelist Penza	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Dizelist Penza - Tambov	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dizelist Penza - Tambov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
15.03.26	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:1 OT
19.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:1
18.10.25	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	0:2
01.12.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	5:2
30.11.24	MHK Ryazan - Dizelist Penza	2:1 OT
14.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	5:4
13.03.24	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	3:2 penalties

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