Match Info

NMHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Ermak Angarsk		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	4.75 (4.75)	4.73 (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
61.6%

Draw
19.2%

Dizelist Penza
19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

20.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ermak Angarsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Dizelist Penza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ermak Angarsk - Dizelist Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:56, 1 - 0, Meshalkin D. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:00, 2 - 0, Abdullin L. (G), Matveyev I. (A), Tungusov N. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 3)
01:25, 3 - 0, Tsaryov I. (G),
06:48, 4 - 0, Abdullin L. (G),
09:46, 4 - 1, Gafarov G. (G),
13:39, 4 - 2, Yasyankin N. (G), Karpin G. (A),
18:09, 5 - 2, Abdullin L. (G),
18:33, 5 - 3, Moskvin K. (G), Dolmatov A. (A),
20', 6 - 3, (G),

Preview

Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Ermak is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dizelist has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dizelist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ermak has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ermak is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ermak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
11.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Dizelist Penza	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Samara	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Samara	3:2 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Kristall Saratov	4:3 ✺
03.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Kristall Saratov	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
11.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Dizelist Penza	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Dizelist Penza - Tambov	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dizelist Penza - Tambov	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Progress Glazov - Dizelist Penza	1:7 ✺
15.02.26	Progress Glazov - Dizelist Penza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
11.03.26	Ermak Angarsk - Dizelist Penza	3:2
24.10.25	Dizelist Penza - Ermak Angarsk	4:2
23.10.25	Dizelist Penza - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 OT

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