Match Info

SWEDEN: SHL

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Malmö Arena (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Motor, TV4 Play


	Malmö Redhawks		Modo

	1	X	2
	2	4.2	3.5
	1.92	4.1	3.4	Watch
	1.91	4.05	3.37
	1.91	4.1	3.4	Watch
	1.95	4.33	3.1
	1.93	4.3	3.23	Watch
	1.92	4.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	4.17 ↓ (4.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö Redhawks
49%

Draw
22.7%

Modo
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

21.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

20.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö Redhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Modo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö Redhawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Malmö Redhawks - Modo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Langhamer M. (G)	30. Lehtinen L. (G)
33. Thomson L.	6. LaDue P.
42. Salo R.	27. Norlinder M.
91. Sundberg A.	92. Olofsson J.
63. Handemark F. (C)	32. Niederbach T.
95. Persson C.	38. Sodergran J.
Line 2
26. Kivihalme T.	51. Berglund V.
16. Lassen M.	23. Winberg T.
32. Ikonen Jo.	29. Aagaard M.
78. Hanzl R.	25. Vigneault S. (A)
11. Pasic N.	24. Carlsson M.
Line 3
6. Badinka D.	2. Rundblad D. (C)
17. Ivarsson J.	40. Bernhardt D.
8. Olofsson J.	19. Pettersson L.
23. Forsberg C. (A)	86. Jasek L.
27. Haapala H. (A)	10. Ranta S.
Line 4
41. Berger J.	7. Nasen P.
12. Oberg L.	13. Benson T.
10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.	11. True A.
20. Berg-Paulsen T.	36. Ohlsson S. (A)
Substitutes
15. Larsson F.	31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
72. Marmenlind D. (G)	12. Pettersson O.
Coaches
. Kollar T.	. Karlin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
11:41, 0 - 1, Aagaard M. (G), Rundblad D. (A), Carlsson M. (A2)
14:16, Aagaard M. (2 min),
17:04, 0 - 2, Olofsson J. (G), Rundblad D. (A), Sodergran J. (A2)
17:48, Winberg T. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:37, 0 - 3, Berglund V. (G), Ranta S. (A), Niederbach T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01:36, Pettersson L. (2 min),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13 in the zone SHL (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malmö won 2.

Recent matches Malmö is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Modo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Malmö will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Malmö won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:31 (average 2.6:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 2.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Modo - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.57%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
25.02.25	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	3:5 ✺
22.02.25	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	3:1 ✺
20.02.25	Växjö Lakers - Malmö Redhawks	6:2 ✺
15.02.25	Malmö Redhawks - Timrå	3:1 ✺
13.02.25	HV71 - Malmö Redhawks	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW
- Modo Hockey
SHL
25.02.25	Modo - Örebro	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Modo - Brynäs	1:4 ✺
20.02.25	Leksand - Modo	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Modo - Leksand	3:4 ✺
13.02.25	Frölunda - Modo	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
28.12.24	Modo - Malmö Redhawks	4:2
02.11.24	Malmö Redhawks - Modo	3:0
26.09.24	Modo - Malmö Redhawks	5:1
09.03.24	Modo - Malmö Redhawks	6:4
27.01.24	Modo - Malmö Redhawks	2:3
18.11.23	Malmö Redhawks - Modo	3:4
30.09.23	Malmö Redhawks - Modo	3:4 OT

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