Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Malungs		Surahammar

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.5	1.66
	4	4.4	1.55
	3.7	4.6	1.56
	3.5	4.5	1.67
	3.68	4.5	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	4.5 ↑ (4.45)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malungs
24.4%

Draw
19.9%

Surahammar
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

20.4%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

16.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malungs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Surahammar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malungs than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surahammar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malungs - Surahammar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Recent matches Malungs is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Surahammars is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Malungs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Surahammars is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Malungs won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 53-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Malungs won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malungs IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
28.02.21	Köping - Malungs	4:2 ✺
26.02.21	Malungs - Grums	1:2 OT ✺
24.02.21	Lindlöven - Malungs	3:4 penalties ✺
21.02.21	Malungs - Eskilstuna Linden	4:2 ✺
12.02.21	Malungs - Kumla Black Bulls	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLWWL
- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
28.02.21	Surahammar - Kumla Black Bulls	5:2 ✺
24.02.21	Köping - Surahammar	0:3 ✺
21.02.21	Surahammar - Grums	3:1 ✺
14.02.21	Surahammar - Lindlöven	4:0 ✺
12.02.21	Eskilstuna Linden - Surahammar	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
10.02.21	Surahammar - Malungs	4:1
20.01.21	Malungs - Surahammar	2:1
16.12.20	Malungs - Surahammar	3:4 OT
04.11.20	Surahammar - Malungs	2:2 OT
05.02.20	Surahammar - Malungs	1:2
15.01.20	Malungs - Surahammar	3:4 penalties
28.12.19	Surahammar - Malungs	0:6

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