Match Info

1. Liga - Round 33

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Martin		Skalica

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.2	2.33
	2.57	4.35	2.22	Watch
	2.4	4	2.2
	2.47	4.2	2.15
	2.4	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.56)	4.15 ↓ (4.31)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin
37.4%

Draw
21.8%

Skalica
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

21.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

21.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Skalica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skalica than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Martin - Skalica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Bernat B. (G)	66. Lietava P. (G)
74. Pacalaj M.	5. Urban J.
21. Burzik J.	18. Kubicek P.
11. Melcher P.	51. Jurik J.
66. Fujerik D.	10. Nemec R.
91. Uram J.	71. Obdrzalek P.
Line 2
36. Ligas B.	84. Skapik L.
71. Lavicka M.	83. Novajovsky P.
93. Barto M.	13. Jurak R.
28. Babka D.	11. Spirko R.
13. Pauliny A.	98. Sachkov D.
Line 3
98. Jakubik J.	86. Janik O.
5. Bakala D.	33. Fridel M.
77. Polacek J.	23. Kuba L.
61. Markovic J.	15. Bulik M.
14. Fafrak M.	19. Satek M.
Line 4
15. Kalnicky S.	16. Duban R.
29. Resetar O.	9. Fungac J.
88. Thomka I.	88. Hecko I.
7. Simonides M.
Substitutes
90. Junas M. (G)	39. Poncak R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
07:08, 1 - 0, Barto M. (G), Burzik J. (A),
10:54, 1 - 1, Spirko R. (G), Sachkov D. (A), Fridel M. (A2)
11:37, 2 - 1, Babka D. (G), Pacalaj M. (A), Pauliny A. (A2)
17:27, 2 - 2, Satek M. (G), Kuba L. (A), Fridel M. (A2)
18:15, 3 - 2, Fujerik D. (G), Uram J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:27, 4 - 2, Thomka I. (G), Fafrak M. (A), Resetar O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:45, 5 - 2, Barto M. (G), Bernat B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Martin won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Martin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Martin won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 60:62. (average 3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Martin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 2.9:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Martin	8	5	1	0	2	33:22	17
5	Skalica	9	4	1	1	3	41:29	15

Last Results with these Odds

Skalica - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Martin
Slovak 1 Liga Hockey
07.01.26	Detva - Martin	3:4 OT ✺
05.01.26	Martin - HC 19 Humenné	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Indian Žiar nad Hronom - Martin	4:1 ✺
28.12.25	Martin - Ice Tigers Nové Zámky	6:5 ✺
21.12.25	Trnava - Martin	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- HK 36 Skalica
Slovak 1 Liga Hockey
07.01.26	Skalica - TEBS Bratislava	4:3 OT ✺
05.01.26	Topoľčany - Skalica	2:7 ✺
28.12.25	Skalica - Dubnica nad Váhom	12:3 ✺
21.12.25	Detva - Skalica	Skalica awarded ✺
19.12.25	HC 19 Humenné - Skalica	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 1 Liga Hockey
28.11.25	Skalica - Martin	6:0
17.10.25	Martin - Skalica	5:2
Slovak Cup Hockey
12.09.24	Martin - Skalica	0:5
Slovak 1 Liga Hockey
12.02.23	Martin - Skalica	2:3 penalties
04.01.23	Skalica - Martin	5:2
18.11.22	Martin - Skalica	4:3
07.10.22	Skalica - Martin	3:1

Martin - Skalica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide