Match Info

2. Liga - West - Round 29

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Milevsko		Děčín

	1	X	2
	1.54	5.17	4.1	Watch
	1.44	4.6	4.4
	1.55	4.8	4.09
	1.45	4.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.83 ↓ (5.5)	4.27 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milevsko
60.3%

Draw
18.7%

Děčín
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

16.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

17.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milevsko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Děčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milevsko than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milevsko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Děčín than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Milevsko - Děčín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
01:04, 0 - 1, Postl O. (G), Faigl T. (A), Tuma D. (A2)
04:00, 1 - 1, Prasek L. (G), Matusik J. (A),
07:34, 2 - 1, Prasek L. (G), Matusik J. (A), Kriz M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
04:10, 3 - 1, Pospichal P. (G), Masopust M. (A), Dudacek D. (A2)
07:41, 4 - 1, Pospichal P. (G), Ondrej J. (A),
09:57, 5 - 1, Chocholousek P. (G), Rezac A. (A), Brezina J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:04, 6 - 1, Seidl R. (G), Prasek L. (A), Dudacek D. (A2)
17:14, 6 - 2, Tuma D. (G), Faigl T. (A), Postl O. (A2)

Preview

Milevsko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Děčín's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Děčín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Milevsko has had a series of away games.

In this match, Milevsko is the team to beat.

We predict that Milevsko will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Milevsko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Milevsko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Milevsko	5	2	0	1	2	19:14	7
10	Decin	5	1	0	1	3	10:24	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Milevsko
Czech 2 Liga Hockey West
14.01.26	Stadion Cheb - Milevsko	2:3 OT ✺
10.01.26	Kobra Praha - Milevsko	8:4 ✺
07.01.26	Benátky nad Jizerou - Milevsko	4:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Příbram - Milevsko	1:5 ✺
13.12.25	Písek - Milevsko	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLLWW
- HC Děčín
Czech 2 Liga Hockey West
14.01.26	Děčín - Kobra Praha	6:3 ✺
10.01.26	Děčín - Benátky nad Jizerou	5:10 ✺
07.01.26	Rebel Havlíčkův Brod - Děčín	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Děčín - Příbram	1:9 ✺
20.12.25	Wikov Hronov - Děčín	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 2 Liga Hockey West
19.11.25	Děčín - Milevsko	2:4
27.09.25	Milevsko - Děčín	4:3

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