The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mjölby 41.5%
Draw 22.1%
Dalen 36.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
20.8%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
21.6%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjölby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Dalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjölby than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Mjölby - Dalen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
05:18, 1 - 0, Sikl A. (G), Forsell M. (A), Lindblad A. (A2)
15:16, 1 - 1, Pedersen M. (G), Svensson L. (A), Johannesson A. (A2)
18:26, 2 - 1, Sikl A. (G), Karlsson A. (A), Forsell M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:19, 3 - 1, Sikl A. (G), Karlsson A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:14, 3 - 2, Sandahl H. (G), Johannesson A. (A), Thornberg J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjölby won 2.
Mjölby has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dalen shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Mjölby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Dalen has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mjölby has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:23 (averaging 2.5:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mjölby against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 2:3.3 per game).