Match Info

SWEDEN: HOCKEYETTAN VASTRA - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Mjölby		Surahammar

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.25	1.93	Watch
	2.82	4.68	2.04
	2.82	4.68	2.05
	2.7	4.5	1.91
	2.73	4.25	1.96
	2.7	4.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.82)	4.43 ↓ (4.68)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjölby
33.2%

Draw
20.7%

Surahammar
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

20.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

18.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjölby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Surahammar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjölby than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surahammar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mjölby - Surahammar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Mjölby has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Surahammar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Surahammar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Surahammar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mjölby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjölby Hockey
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
15.11.23	Mjölby - Falu	3:4 ✺
05.11.23	Skövde - Mjölby	7:1 ✺
29.10.23	Mjölby - Mariestad BoIS	3:12 ✺
25.10.23	Forshaga - Mjölby	3:2 penalties ✺
22.10.23	Mjölby - Lindlöven	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
15.11.23	Surahammar - Skövde	2:5 ✺
03.11.23	Lindlöven - Surahammar	5:4 OT ✺
29.10.23	Surahammar - Forshaga	3:5 ✺
25.10.23	Tranås - Surahammar	7:5 ✺
22.10.23	Surahammar - Dalen	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
07.10.23	Surahammar - Mjölby	3:2 penalties

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