Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga North

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Moskitos Essen		Herforder EV

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.2	3
	1.87	4.33	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)	4.27 ↑ (4.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moskitos Essen
49.2%

Draw
21.2%

Herforder EV
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

21.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

19.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Moskitos Essen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Herforder EV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moskitos Essen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herforder EV than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Moskitos Essen - Herforder EV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 2)

Preview

Essen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Herford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Essen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Herford have a series of home games.

Essen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Essen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:6 (average 4:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Essen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moskitos Essen
German Oberliga North Hockey
24.01.25	Moskitos Essen - Herner	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Hannover Scorpions - Moskitos Essen	2:3 OT ✺
10.01.25	Herforder EV - Moskitos Essen	4:5 ✺
03.01.25	Herner - Moskitos Essen	2:3 OT ✺
30.12.24	Moskitos Essen - Hammer Eisbären	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- Herforder EV
German Oberliga North Hockey
31.01.25	Herforder EV - Erfurt	5:2 ✺
24.01.25	Herforder EV - Hannover Indians	4:2 ✺
10.01.25	Herforder EV - Moskitos Essen	4:5 ✺
03.01.25	Hannover Indians - Herforder EV	8:1 ✺
30.12.24	Herforder EV - Icefighters Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga North Hockey
10.01.25	Herforder EV - Moskitos Essen	4:5
05.01.24	Moskitos Essen - Herforder EV	3:2

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