Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 40

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play


	MsHK Žilina		Liptovský Mikuláš

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	3.7
	1.55	4.75	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.67	4.11	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4
	1.57	4.55	4.31	Watch
	1.55	4.3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	4.57 ↑ (4.38)	4.15 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MsHK Žilina
57.9%

Draw
20%

Liptovský Mikuláš
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

21.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

22.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MsHK Žilina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Liptovský Mikuláš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MsHK Žilina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MsHK Žilina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liptovský Mikuláš than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žilina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
1. LaCouvee C. (G)	32. Houser M. (G)
48. Gachulinec D.	2. Robertson C.
7. Pobezal J.	98. Lalik L.
92. Kolenic J.	58. Vojtech M.
38. Korczak R.	92. Tritt D.
8. Koys P.	67. Zaborsky T.
Line 2
59. Kotvan O.	16. Kadlubiak M.
16. Miller B.	20. Flood E.
39. Ranford B.	27. Farren M.
21. Walega K.	91. Cormier X.
10. Mucha M.	18. Sukel J.
Line 3
24. Korencik M.	76. Fekiac F.
4. Chicoine G.	8. Jendrol D.
17. Juscak M.	24. Sandor P.
27. Dej R.	22. Vankus M.
89. Tkac D.	66. Nespala J.
Line 4
25. Vasas F.	25. Cajkovic A.
20. Galambos P.	51. Ferkodic M.
12. Betak S.	17. Uhrik M.
	19. Kotvan B.
Substitutes
33. Rychlik R. (G)	29. Sameliak S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:02, 0 - 1, Farren M. (G), Sukel J. (A), Flood E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:03, 1 - 1, Chicoine G. (G), Tkac D. (A),
19:46, 1 - 2, Zaborsky T. (G), Farren M. (A), Tritt D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
15:32, 2 - 2, Chicoine G. (G), Korczak R. (A), Mucha M. (A2)
19:25, 3 - 2, Ranford B. (G), Korczak R. (A), Kolenic J. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žilina won 1.

Žilina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liptovský Mikuláš is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Žilina is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Žilina will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žilina won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 56:61. (average 2.8:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Žilina won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 3:2.9).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Zilina: 13.29% Liptovsky Mikulas: 5.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Zilina	9	5	0	2	2	30:18	17
6	Liptovsky Mikulas	9	5	0	1	3	27:28	16

Last Results with these Odds

Liptovský Mikuláš - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.73%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MsHK Žilina
Slovak Extraliga
16.01.26	Slovan Bratislava - MsHK Žilina	2:1 penalties ✺
11.01.26	MsHK Žilina - HC Dukla Trenčín	6:3 ✺
09.01.26	MsHK Žilina - Poprad	4:2 ✺
05.01.26	Slovan Bratislava - MsHK Žilina	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - MsHK Žilina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- MHk 32 Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovak Extraliga
16.01.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - Banská Bystrica	8:1 ✺
11.01.26	Prešov - Liptovský Mikuláš	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - Zvolen	2:3 OT ✺
05.01.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - HC Košice	1:3 ✺
03.01.26	Dukla Michalovce - Liptovský Mikuláš	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
16.11.25	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	3:1
03.10.25	MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.25	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	4:3 OT
Slovak Extraliga
31.01.25	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	4:1
12.01.25	MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš	5:4
28.12.24	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	3:6
26.11.24	MsHK Žilina - Liptovský Mikuláš	4:3

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