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Current Win Probability
Narvik 19%
Draw 19%
Vålerenga 62%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
19.3%
62.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
13.9%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narvik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narvik than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narvik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Narvik - Vålerenga Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
65. Partanen J. (G)
32. Arnkvaern M. (G)
68. Nordlund T.
6. Ekelund K.
82. Vaaler S.
94. Larsson H. (A)
88. Kokkonen J.
18. Modigs M.
14. Ahstrom T.
22. Roymark M. (C)
28. Pettersson L.
10. Caamano N.
Line 2
4. Klofutar T.
42. Koch G.
26. Kyrkjeeide Oversveen P.
21. Rokseth D.
57. Vold E. (C)
27. Nystuen S.
11. Tveter T. (A)
46. Olimb M. (A)
47. Rimjans L.
28. Karterud J.
Line 3
43. Francke-Enersen L.
8. Nilsen H.
29. Svarstad K. H.
47. Danielsen A.
27. Andersson N.
17. Christiansen M.
21. Ceder J. (A)
16. Henriksen M.
5. Marthinsen K.
33. Halmrast Johansen L.
Line 4
23. Gullhav W.
13. Bjerke S.
55. Meyer J.
91. McLaughlin B.
41. Byrkjeland D.
61. Nagell M. L.
9. Koskinen R.
20. Byrkjeland B.
Substitutes
30. Johnsen A. (G)
30. Voutilainen J. (G)
Coaches
. Glader F.
. Johansen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
06:43, Vaaler S. (2 min),
07:57, 0 - 1, Caamano N. (G), Nystuen S. (A), Koch G. (A2)
11:14, Ekelund K. (2 min),
11:25, Kokkonen J. (2 min),
16:38, 0 - 2, Halmrast Johansen L. (G), Christiansen M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:16, Nordlund T. (2 min),
01:54, 0 - 3, Christiansen M. (G),
02:29, Caamano N. (2 min),
05:32, Kokkonen J. (2 min),
07:07, Christiansen M. (2 min),
10:01, Svarstad K. H. (2 min),
14:37, (2 min),
19:24, 1 - 3, Meyer J. (G), Ahstrom T. (A), Pettersson L. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:31, Olimb M. (2 min),
02:28, 2 - 3, Ahstrom T. (G), Pettersson L. (A),
08:14, 3 - 3, Ahstrom T. (G), Pettersson L. (A), Svarstad K. H. (A2)
08:38, Ekelund K. (2 min),
10:42, 4 - 3, Rimjans L. (G), Andersson N. (A), Byrkjeland B. (A2)
13:38, 4 - 4, Koch G. (G), Modigs M. (A), Caamano N. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
02:50, Caamano N. (2 min),
02:50, Gullhav W. (2 min),
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Halmrast Johansen L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Andersson N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Modigs M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ceder J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Karterud J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pettersson L. (Penalty Shot),
4, McLaughlin B. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ahstrom T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Olimb M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Gullhav W. (Penalty Shot),
6, Pettersson L. (Penalty Shot),
6, McLaughlin B. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Vålerenga is Qualified for EHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narvik won 3.
Narvik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vålerenga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vålerenga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Narvik has had a series of away games.
In this match, Vålerenga is considered a favorite.
We predict that Narvik will win today's game, with odds of 5.06.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Narvik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 33:64. (average 2.1:4).
Including home matches between the teams, Narvik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 3:3.4).
Outrights of Norwegian Ligaen Hockey for now
Valerenga: 13.7% Narvik: 0.81%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Valerenga
6
5
0
0
1
28:11
15
9
Narvik
6
0
0
0
6
10:33
0
Last Results with these Odds
Vålerenga - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 62.22%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.