Match Info

VHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk)


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

	1	X	2
	4.08	4.01	1.8
	3.6	3.9	1.89	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.42)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	1.98 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
27.8%

Draw
24.7%

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

24.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftyanik Almetyevsk's form might have worsened.

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty Mansiysk Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Yugra will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yugra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	59. Sukhachyov V. (G)
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	79. Savelyev A.
38. Garaishin I.	89. Teryayev S. (C)
88. Bulatov A.	96. Fattakhov V.
63. Platonov Y.	80. Maltsev M.
9. Bykov M.	37. Udot A.
Line 2
97. Myasishchev I.	67. Afanasyev M.
4. Chetverikov D.	57. Sevostyanov A.
87. Rakhimullin A.	78. Dubakin S.
17. Kulikov P. (A)	15. Busarov G. (A)
77. Marushev M.	66. Belyayev M.
Line 3
90. Sumin A. (A)	4. Yelizarov A. (A)
75. Ionov S.	47. Medvedev P.
32. Yakupov R.	28. Kazakov M.
70. Boychuk D.	13. Kadyshev K.
71. Shakirov R.	42. Shutov V.
Line 4
89. Onishko A.	44. Shevtsov V.
26. Giniyatullin R.	11. Popov A.
19. Khlopotov V.	17. Podkorytov A.
24. Faizullin D.	91. Makeyev A.
Substitutes
18. Korotkov B.	33. Maklozyan Y.
37. Nosov G. (G)	50. Sokhatsky V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:35, 0 - 1, Savelyev A. (G), Fattakhov V. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
05:09, 1 - 1, Platonov Y. (G), Khamidullin D. (A),
09:27, 2 - 1, Onishko A. (G), Marushev M. (A), Kulikov P. (A2)
10:26, 3 - 1, Rakhimullin A. (G), Kulikov P. (A), Chetverikov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:03, 3 - 2, Maltsev M. (G), Fattakhov V. (A), Udot A. (A2)

Preview

HC Yugra (VHL) leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yugra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 44:56. (average 2.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 2.1:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Almetyevsk	15	7	4	0	4	44:30	22
23	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 39.46%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
08.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:4 ✺
05.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:2 OT ✺
03.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5 ✺
30.04.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 ✺
28.04.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL
- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
08.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:4 ✺
05.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:2 OT ✺
03.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5 ✺
30.04.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 ✺
28.04.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:4
05.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:2 OT
03.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5
30.04.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3
28.04.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 OT
14.03.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:1 OT
14.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 penalties

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