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Current Win Probability
Olomouc 31.8%
Draw 23.3%
Energie Karlovy Vary 44.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
23.2%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
24.6%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Energie Karlovy Vary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olomouc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Karlovy Vary than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Energie Karlovy Vary, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olomouc - Energie Karlovy Vary Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Machovsky M. (G)
0. Frodl D. (G)
48. Cerny T. (A)
6. Koci M.
44. Gewiese P.
9. Brickley D.
88. Navratil J.
8. Beranek O. (A)
18. Berglund C.
21. Cernoch J. (C)
9. Senyshyn Z.
23. Jiskra V.
Line 2
37. Stella E.
55. Mamcics R.
17. Freibergs R.
27. Winberg T.
32. Orsava J. (A)
86. Bambula J.
86. Stohanzl M.
18. Jones N.
81. Matys O.
29. Stastny D.
Line 3
4. Rutar A.
7. Eronen E.
23. Ondrusek J. (C)
4. Schmiemann Q.
34. Vitouch M.
12. Tomek P.
21. Vitouch D.
10. Egle H.
97. Hercik D.
11. Sapousek R.
Line 4
14. Reznicek D.
24. Mysak J. (A)
61. Cosgrove T.
70. Lukosik A.
65. Tomecek M.
15. Minarik J.
47. Macuh R.
17. Redlich T.
25. Kos J.
Substitutes
29. Cichon O. (G)
31. Kral D. (G)
5. Vana M.
Coaches
. Fiala P.
. Patera P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
18:09, 0 - 1, Stastny D. (G), Jones N. (A), Bambula J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:05, Senyshyn Z. (2 min),
03:44, Freibergs R. (2 min),
08:03, 0 - 2, Winberg T. (G), Jones N. (A), Bambula J. (A2)
09:48, 0 - 3, Beranek O. (G), Cernoch J. (A),
18:03, Lukosik A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:41, Sapousek R. (2 min),
16:07, Berglund C. (2 min),
17:06, 0 - 4, Cernoch J. (G), Sapousek R. (A), Stastny D. (A2)
19:24, 0 - 5, Tomek P. (G), Egle H. (A), Sapousek R. (A2)
19:39, Cosgrove T. (2 min),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th in the Extraliga (Relegation) and 4th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olomouc won 2.
Olomouc is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Karlovy Vary shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Karlovy Vary holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Karlovy Vary: Jones N.
(Back Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Olomouc: Plasek K. Jr.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Karlovy Vary in today's match, at odds of 2.09.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olomouc has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:49 (averaging 2.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olomouc against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 30:18 goals (averaging 3:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Karlovy Vary
15
7
2
0
6
36:27
25
14
Olomouc
15
2
1
2
10
26:52
10
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Karlovy Vary: 3.77% Olomouc: 0.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Energie Karlovy Vary - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.