The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pardubice 47.8%
Draw 21.6%
Oceláři Třinec 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.4%
20.8%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
22.2%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-2%)
Pardubice - Oceláři Třinec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Subban M. (G)
90. Kacetl O. (G)
79. Tourigny M.
55. Adamek M.
15. Ludvig J.
52. Marincin M.
89. Mandat J.
94. Nestrasil A.
11. Kondelik J.
87. Kovarcik M.
19. Cervenka R.
34. Kovarcik O.
Line 2
41. Ceresnak P.
76. Galvas J.
7. Dvorak T.
64. Koch P.
93. Stransky M.
9. Kubiesa M.
98. Tomasek D.
79. Hudacek L.
96. Smejkal J.
56. Dano M.
Line 3
43. Gazda D.
6. Musil D.
4. Miklis O.
24. Pyrochta F.
88. Stransky J.
27. Ruzicka Mart.
92. Nosek T.
40. Roman M.
29. Kelemen M.
96. Vozenilek D.
Line 4
34. Chabada O.
66. Aubrecht D.
55. Vondracek T.
43. Kurovsky D.
59. Hrnicko D.
78. Chlan P.
44. Poulicek P.
19. Hrehorcak P.
Substitutes
22. Kaplan R.
2. Mazanec M. (G)
35. Will R. (G)
Coaches
. Pesan F.
. Zabka B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
04:23, 1 - 0, Tomasek D. (G), Smejkal J. (A), Stransky M. (A2)
05:31, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
09:45, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
09:45, Dvorak T. (2 min),
10:32, 2 - 0, Smejkal J. (G), Gazda D. (A), Tomasek D. (A2)
17:50, Ludvig J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:37, 2 - 1, Kovarcik O. (G), Nestrasil A. (A), Marincin M. (A2)
03:16, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
03:16, Tomasek D. (2 min),
03:54, Tourigny M. (2 min),
04:07, 2 - 2, Kubiesa M. (G), Hudacek L. (A), Pyrochta F. (A2)
15:36, Hudacek L. (2 min),
18:05, Vondracek T. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:28, Nestrasil A. (2 min),
05:00, 3 - 2, Kelemen M. (G), Poulicek P. (A),
05:33, Hudacek L. (2 min),
06:31, 3 - 3, Adamek M. (G), Kovarcik O. (A), Nestrasil A. (A2)
12:41, 3 - 4, Musil D. (G), Chlan P. (A), Vozenilek D. (A2)
13:04, Kurovsky D. (2 min),
18:52, Koch P. (2 min),
19:44, 4 - 4, Ceresnak P. (G), Cervenka R. (A), Tomasek D. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:57, 5 - 4, Mandat J. (G), Ceresnak P. (A), Nosek T. (A2)
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories in strong fashion.
Pardubice may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pardubice holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Pardubice: Kaut M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kostalek J.
(Suspended)
Sobotka V.
(Shoulder Injury).
Confirmed absences for Třinec: Flynn O.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Pardubice: Lauko J.
(Leg Injury)
Sedlak L.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:54 (averaging 3.3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pardubice against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 33:20 goals (averaging 3.3:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Trinec
15
12
1
1
1
62:34
39
2
Pardubice
15
9
1
1
4
56:41
30
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Pardubice: 38.39% Trinec: 18.85%
Last Results with these Odds
Pardubice - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.42%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Oceláři Třinec - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.75%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
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Subban M. (G) 
Kacetl O. (G) 
Marincin M. 
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