Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 45

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Rocknet Arena (Chomutov)


	Piráti Chomutov		ZUBR Přerov

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.9	2.75	Watch
	2.11	4.03	2.87	Watch
	2.05	3.9	2.7
	2.06	3.8	2.86
	2.05	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	3.9 ↓ (4)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piráti Chomutov
44%

Draw
23.4%

ZUBR Přerov
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

23.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piráti Chomutov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ZUBR Přerov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piráti Chomutov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piráti Chomutov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZUBR Přerov than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Piráti Chomutov - ZUBR Přerov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Vay A. (G)	41. Nemecek J. (G)
21. Balaz O.	21. Cerny R.
7. Krutil M.	62. Krisl J. (C)
49. Coskey C.	8. Suss J.
17. Eret P.	65. Tomecek M.
22. Kana J.	29. Nasel M.
Line 2
19. Kaderavek P.	5. Sisak M.
96. Hejda T.	34. Zdrahal J.
6. Sklenar D.	12. Indrak D.
15. Chlan P.	11. Pechanec A.
91. Ourada K.	19. Brezina D.
Line 3
26. Zizka T.	27. Pencik M.
58. Ulrych P. (C)	81. Zboril M.
71. Kratochvil P.	17. Adamek L.
12. Forsblom K.	10. Hanak J.
27. Badinka D.	13. Hradil R.
Line 4
4. Havel R.	16. Mozr M.
18. Tuma M.	23. Boltvan A.
20. Koblizek T.	4. Zembol J.
75. Havelka M.	14. Dobsa D.
Substitutes
31. Kral T. (G)	7. Koudela F.
66. Svoboda T.	31. Svancara P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
07:18, 0 - 1, Hradil R. (G), Pencik M. (A), Hanak J. (A2)
17:20, 0 - 2, Pechanec A. (Penalty Shot),
19:30, 1 - 2, Sklenar D. (G), Balaz O. (A), Chlan P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:37, 1 - 3, Zdrahal J. (G), Indrak D. (A), Tomecek M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:01, Vay A. ↓, Kral T. ↑,
00:40, 2 - 3, Ourada K. (G), Balaz O. (A), Kaderavek P. (A2)
03:22, 3 - 3, Havelka M. (G), Havel R. (A), Koblizek T. (A2)
06:19, 3 - 4, Koudela F. (G), Tomecek M. (A), Zdrahal J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chomutov won 3.

Recent form of Chomutov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Přerov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chomutov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chomutov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chomutov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Prerov	12	5	0	0	7	26:41	15
11	Chomutov	12	3	0	2	7	30:40	11

Last Results with these Odds

Piráti Chomutov - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

ZUBR Přerov - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piráti Chomutov
Czech Maxa Liga
10.01.26	Dukla Jihlava - Piráti Chomutov	5:3 ✺
07.01.26	Piráti Chomutov - Slavia Prague	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Stadion Litoměřice - Piráti Chomutov	5:1 ✺
29.12.25	Piráti Chomutov - Třebíč	3:2 penalties ✺
27.12.25	PSG Zlín - Piráti Chomutov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- HC ZUBR Přerov
Czech Maxa Liga
10.01.26	Baník Sokolov - ZUBR Přerov	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	ZUBR Přerov - Dukla Jihlava	4:3 penalties ✺
04.01.26	Slavia Prague - ZUBR Přerov	6:1 ✺
29.12.25	ZUBR Přerov - Stadion Litoměřice	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Třebíč - ZUBR Přerov	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
17.12.25	ZUBR Přerov - Piráti Chomutov	4:3
05.11.25	Piráti Chomutov - ZUBR Přerov	4:1
27.09.25	ZUBR Přerov - Piráti Chomutov	3:0
06.03.25	ZUBR Přerov - Piráti Chomutov	0:2
04.03.25	Piráti Chomutov - ZUBR Přerov	3:0
29.01.25	ZUBR Přerov - Piráti Chomutov	4:2
18.12.24	Piráti Chomutov - ZUBR Přerov	4:1

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