Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLETTAN PLAY OFFS - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Piteå HC		Vimmerby

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.85	2.19	Watch
	2.63	3.93	2.38
	2.63	3.92	2.38
	2.4	3.5	2.5
	2.52	3.84	2.26
	2.5	3.8	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.38)	3.81 ↓ (4.2)	2.33 (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå HC
36.4%

Draw
24.2%

Vimmerby
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

21.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

18.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The chances for Vimmerby have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå HC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vimmerby than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vimmerby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piteå HC - Vimmerby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
16:52, 1 - 0, Nilsson O. (G), Holmner-Hargestam C. (A), Marnetoft G. (A2)
19:09, 2 - 0, Sundin A. (G), Hedman L. (A), Popovic A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:19, 3 - 0, Holmner-Hargestam C. (G),
03:00, 4 - 0, Hedman L. (G),
07:22, 4 - 1, Ollila H. (G), Parna M. (A), Andersson I. (A2)
18:40, 5 - 1, Lindmark L. (G), Holmner-Hargestam C. (A), Marnetoft G. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:12, 6 - 1, Holmner-Hargestam C. (G), Hedman L. (A), Eriksson O. (A2)
12:14, 7 - 1, Keilin T. (G), Hedman L. (A), Nilsson O. (A2)

Preview

Recent matches Piteå HC is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vimmerby is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vimmerby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Norra
24.03.24	Piteå HC - Boden	4:2 ✺
21.03.24	Boden - Piteå HC	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Boden - Piteå HC	3:5 ✺
17.03.24	Piteå HC - Boden	2:1 OT ✺
16.03.24	Piteå HC - Boden	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWL
- Vimmerby HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Norra
20.03.24	Troja Ljungby - Vimmerby	1:3 ✺
17.03.24	Vimmerby - Troja Ljungby	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Vimmerby - Troja Ljungby	4:3 ✺
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
28.02.24	Karlskrona - Vimmerby	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Vimmerby - Kallinge-Ronneby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW

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