The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polonia Bytom 34.3%
Draw 21.6%
GKS Tychy 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
20.9%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
22.7%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Dyachenko B. (G)
33. Fucik T. (G)
34. Musiol D.
67. Pociecha B.
11. Kurnicki O.
20. Kovar L.
24. Bepierszcz M.
84. Knuutinen H.
9. Jarosz D.
14. Pas D.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
88. Lyszczarczyk A.
Line 2
17. Gorny K.
2. Kakkonen V.
23. Kubes J.
4. Kaskinen O.
61. Zajac M.
27. Jamsen J.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
28. Kielbicki S.
91. Vorona O.
86. Kerkkanen J.
Line 3
77. Osenieks E.
69. Bryk M.
43. Hrebenyk A.
3. Sertti L.
12. Buyalsky A.
91. Jeziorski B.
94. Mroczkowski C.
44. Ainali A.
21. Padakin P.
34. Viitanen M.
Line 4
8. Bodora A.
16. Sobecki K.
6. Kamenev Y.
39. Viinikainen O.
10. Wicher S.
11. Goscinski M.
38. Karasinski A.
87. Kucharski S.
16. Petrazycki T.
29. Janik J.
Substitutes
1. Jaworski T. (G)
24. Chabior S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:41, 0 - 1, Goscinski M. (G), Jeziorski B. (A), Bryk M. (A2)
07:43, 1 - 1, Bepierszcz M. (G), Buyalsky A. (A), Wielkiewicz F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:38, 1 - 2, Kielbicki S. (G), Kaskinen O. (A), Kerkkanen J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bytom won 0.
Bytom is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by GKS Tychy have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
GKS Tychy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bytom has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 19 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:116 (averaging 1.7:5.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bytom against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 18:57 goals (averaging 1.8:5.7 per game).