The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Progress Glazov 46.5%
Draw 21.9%
Proton Novovoronezh 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
22.3%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
24%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progress Glazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progress Glazov's performance.
Proton Novovoronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Proton Novovoronezh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Progress Glazov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Proton Novovoronezh than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Proton Novovoronezh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Progress Glazov - Proton Novovoronezh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
02:43, 1 - 0, Afanasyev D. (G), Aristov L. (A), Nigmatullin R. (A2)
06:07, 1 - 1, Folin P. (G), Vlasov Y. (A), Litvintsev S. (A2)
11:33, 1 - 2, Okorokov I. (G), Ivanov M. (A), Zubach A. (A2)
18:42, 2 - 2, Bykov V. (G), Aristov L. (A), Nigmatullin R. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
08:23, 3 - 2, Otinov Y. (G), Borodinov I. (A),
09:36, 4 - 2, Aristov L. (G), Nigmatullin R. (A), Afanasyev D. (A2)
14:48, 5 - 2, Borodinov I. (G),
15:58, 6 - 2, Afanasyev D. (G), Aristov L. (A), Nigmatullin R. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:06, 7 - 2, Marchinskiy M. (G), Golovatenko V. (A), Borodinov I. (A2)
01:39, 8 - 2, Vakhrushev M. (G), Vozisov D. (A), Zaripov F. (A2)
04:32, 9 - 2, Zaripov F. (G), Vakhrushev M. (A), Vozisov D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progress Glazov won 3.
Progress Glazov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Proton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Progress Glazov has had a series of home games.
Recently, Proton has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Progress Glazov will win today's game, with odds of 2.32.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Progress Glazov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:39. (average 2.9:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Progress Glazov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 3.3:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Progress Glazov - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.87%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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