Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Rögle		Davos

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	4.50
	1.60	4.33	4.40
	1.52	4.60	5.30
	1.49	4.83	5.18
	1.57	4.78	4.5	Watch
	1.47	4.75	5.10
	1.51	4.90	5.09	Watch
	1.54	4.70	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)	4.71 ↑ (4.33)	4.85 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
61.1%

Draw
19.8%

Davos
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

21.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

22.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rögle's performance.

Davos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Davos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rögle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Davos than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Davos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Rögle - Davos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rögle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Clang C. (G)	51. Hollenstein L. (G)
4. Clurman N.	88. Minder T.
58. Johansson F.	90. Jung S. (A)
94. Koblar T.	22. Lemieux B.
22. Olofsson F. (A)	70. Corvi E. (A)
62. Horky L.	19. Tambellini A.
Line 2
6. LaDue P.	28. Gernat M.
51. Sjalin C.	38. Frick L.
18. Everberg D. (C)	72. Kessler T.
37. Sundsvik A.	25. Waidacher B.
72. Zaar D.	62. Schreiber H.
Line 3
95. Friedman M.	55. Andersson C.
7. Claesson L.	35. Bachler L.
8. Sandin L.	93. Frehner Y.
46. Kellman J.	66. Nussbaumer V.
83. Kuhlman K.	13. Aebli N.
Line 4
21. Jellvik O.	37. Grunenfelder N.
5. Kumlin A.	87. Steiner L.
17. Bartholdsson N.	17. Jager K. (C)
41. Zether S.	21. Parree J.
32. Solberg I.
Substitutes
75. Holm A. (G)	29. Aeschlimann S. (G)
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Holden J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
06:44, Frick L. (2 min),
09:45, 1 - 0, Sundsvik A. (G),
14:26, 2 - 0, Koblar T. (G), Olofsson F. (A),
15:25, Sundsvik A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:59, 3 - 0, Sandin L. (G), Kellman J. (A), Friedman M. (A2)
11:29, Solberg I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:44, 3 - 1, Corvi E. (G),
19:04, Sandin L. (2 min),
19:15, 3 - 2, Lemieux B. (G), Jung S. (A), Andersson C. (A2)

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Davos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rögle for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rögle has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 1.5:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rögle against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Outrights of Champions League Ice Hockey for now

Rogle: 8% Davos: 6.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts	Pts
9	Rogle ✔	5	3	0	0	2	12:7	9	1.80
13	Davos	5	2	1	0	2	19:15	8	1.60

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.55%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
03.10.26	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:2 ✺
01.10.26	Rögle - Timrå	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Rögle - Linköping	2:1 OT ✺
24.09.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Rögle - Djurgården	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- HC Davos
Swiss National League Hockey
03.10.26	Biel - Davos	4:3 ✺
02.10.26	Davos - Ajoie	3:1 ✺
29.09.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Davos	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Davos - Lausanne HC	4:2 ✺
25.09.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Davos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dolomiten Cup
18.08.23	Rögle - Davos	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.13	Davos - Rögle	3:2

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