Match Info

SHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Rögle		Färjestad

	1	X	2
	2.18	4	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.3
	2.05	3.65	3.31	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3
	2.05	4.1	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	3.81 ↓ (3.98)	3.16 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rögle
45.2%

Draw
24.8%

Färjestad
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

23.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Färjestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Rögle - Färjestad Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rögle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rögle will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	33. Larmi E. (G)
58. Johansson F.	48. Roos F.
44. de Haan C.	7. Bergkvist A.
52. Nilsson F.	96. Tomasek D.
22. Olofsson F.	59. Johansson L. (C)
83. Kuhlman K.	11. Nygard J. (A)
Line 2
95. Friedman M.	32. Nygren M. (A)
24. Goransson M.	73. Mattsson A.
18. Everberg D. (A)	29. Steen O.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	13. Kellman J.
8. Sandin L.	15. Berglund J.
Line 3
6. LaDue P.	74. Leivermann N.
51. Sjalin C.	27. Carlsson G.
67. Bristedt L. (A)	39. Philp L.
37. Sundsvik A.	67. Zohorna R.
72. Zaar D.	22. Aslund P.
Line 4
45. Biber G.	6. Wikman A.
27. Sjodin L.	23. Eriksen M.
23. Dickinson J.	12. Jansson C.
62. Horky L.	92. Forsell L.
Substitutes
30. Nyman A. (G)	18. Eriksson E.
65. Rifalk C. (G)	60. Goos M. (G)
32. Solberg I.	35. Thelin M. (G)
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Abbott C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
10:10, 1 - 0, Olofsson F. (G), Nilsson F. (A), de Haan C. (A2)
14:32, 1 - 1, Tomasek D. (G), Johansson L. (A), Aslund P. (A2)
16:12, 2 - 1, Johansson F. (G), de Haan C. (A),
17:30, Sjodin L. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:16, 3 - 1, LaDue P. (G), Nilsson F. (A), Horky L. (A2)
05:11, Larmi E. ↓, Thelin M. ↑,
13:35, Carlsson G. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:22, Nygren M. (2 min),
18:44, 4 - 1, Sandin L. (G),
19:15, Friedman M. (2 min),
19:15, Leivermann N. (2 min),

Preview

Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rögle is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Färjestad is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rögle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Rögle will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:47. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.2:2.5).

Outrights of SHL for now

Farjestad: 15.94% Rogle: 10.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Farjestad	7	6	0	1	0	28:6	19
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.65%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Färjestad - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.89%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
03.04.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Rögle - Färjestad	7:2 ✺
30.03.26	Färjestad - Rögle	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Rögle - Färjestad	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLL
- Farjestads BK
SHL
03.04.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Rögle - Färjestad	7:2 ✺
30.03.26	Färjestad - Rögle	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Rögle - Färjestad	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
03.04.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:3
01.04.26	Rögle - Färjestad	7:2
30.03.26	Färjestad - Rögle	1:2
28.03.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:0
26.03.26	Rögle - Färjestad	5:6 OT
24.03.26	Rögle - Färjestad	1:2
07.03.26	Rögle - Färjestad	2:6

Upcoming Matches